mississaugasnow

At this point considering we're slowly getting into range. Id enjoy a nice 3-6" snowfall. The immediate GTA and Niagara/Buffalo need an extra little shove east by about 75-100 miles lol. Ohio is looking good and most of the state has wiggle room now

I haven't seen you post in a while. Congrats on the job at the weather network. Someone get this man a met tag haha.

At least we have something to watch but the GTA will need to thread the needle big time to see this pattern produce a winter storm (The southern GTA and Niagara. Other parts have already seen a snowstorm)

That type of track (CNY) is perfect for Immediate Buffalo-Youngstown and Niagara/GTA. Too far west and were mostly rain and East well its Rochester-CNY storm with Buffalo-Niagara normally still getting decent 3-6/4-8 but not the big amounts. GTA in the east version literally comes down to miles, 20-30 miles more west and we can salvage 2-4" 20-30 miles closer to coast and its just cloudy.

Its great that you've lost the weight. I find the fasting part interesting when looking into healthier lifestyle a few years back, but for the large part of the population, me included its nearly impossible for me to go long periods of time without food. difference is food choice like you mentioned. Instead of bag of chips its an apple and banana. Instead of 2 sandwiches its one with a bag of carrots ect.. Everyone takes diets and tweaks them a bit and its wonderful you've been able to lose your weight with yours. Its no easy task and I congratulate you on that.

lol at the people coming in here talking about going from obese/overweight to normal weight in a few weeks. On average you should only lose 1-2 pounds a week (it will be more at the beginning) you will plateau numerous times and almost want to give up. I also say this as someone that runs 10km a day and counted calories and switched my diet around and workout regiment around to kick start during the plateaus. The fad fasting, extreme weight loss is BS and doesn't work for 99% of the population. I went from being 6'2 235 pounds two years ago to 195 pounds today. The big reason for the weight staying off and down is because I didn't do the BS ive seen thrown around in here. Slow and steady over years not weeks/months. Not disagreeing about health and lifestyle choices playing a bigger role in the outcome. Just saying this informercial garbage ive heard in the last few pages about weight loss is straight up overnight tv information. And I recommend no one makes lifestyle choices on those late night informercials haha

I got lucky up here on the escarpment in Hamilton that I got about 3". Downtown Toronto along the lakeshore only received 1cm or about 0.5" while only 5 miles up Yonge street away from the lake received 4-8". I think Lake Erie does the same thing to Downtown Buffalo occasionally, especially early season marginal LES events.

Very interesting system and typical November snowstorm. Elevation and distance from Lake making a big difference. Finished with 7cm out here on Hamilton Mountain and its now turned to light rain. Right along Lake Erie had a slushy 1-3cm and the weather network said some right along the Lake Ontario shore in Burlington-Mississauga are reporting the same (1-3cm)

Ideally its not that bad like 2011-2012 but being in the eastern Great Lakes we have even less room in moderate La Ninas compared to the rest of this subforum. Buffalo and Syracuse get lucky because of Lake Effect helping them at least see snow. In those moderate-Strong La Ninas Toronto tends to mimic Boston and Pittsburgh instead of central and western Great Lakes. Now this is the banter and for all I know there is one big dog that's going to pop in between these warm spells and drop a foot of snow and ill have to eat these words haha.

I think its all preference. Last year seemed like a bad winter but for me it was fine, started off fast with November snowstorms and cold, and then off again/on again threading the needle and ending up with around 48" of snow. Id rather that instead of losing November-January to tiny nothing events surrounded by warmth and then getting 3-4 6" storms in February.

Thats the problem with the GTA we can't hope for a big LES outbreak. Our bread and butter is clippers followed by big dogs riding up the apps. If those two disappear were in a lot of trouble haha. I took a peak at 2011-2012 and you guys still did well in my books but must have felt like a big snow drought for your regions. Toronto saw 16" that entire winter. KBUF registered 20" in January alone haha

about 16" fell that winter with January being the biggest month with 6.4" 2nd place was February with 4.2" and 3rd was December with 3". Then November, March, April all had just under 1"

Yep, Im thinking this winter will be a warm one with probably the lowest amount of snow in roughly a decade. Hate to say passing on winter in mid/late November but the trends have not been our friends haha

Ill be the first to complain haha currently rest of November and beginning of December looks like write offs. Im going to say we challenge the 2011-2012 winter in the GTA. I think we see one moderate snowstorm this year of 3-6" but most of the winter will be like today with off and on lake effect giving us a dusting-0.5" followed by quick warm ups. Rinse and repeat

Ya, still early but this is starting to feel like one of those winters where it barely snows. I believe toronto only saw 14" that winter.

I can't wait to post that I got an 18" storm when the airport and others around me say only 6" fell. Not my problem I measured in a drift and since we've all given up on facts it would be a fact that my measurement is correct. But please don't ask me to go measure the bare ground beside the snow drift, that's fake news.

I find that aspect of republicanism interesting. If you follow that belief to the end point you end at libertarianism. How come a vast majority of Republicans force anti-abortion legislation, drug legislation, marriage legislation, religion in school ect.. If you believe the government has no right in an individual's life than how come they have problem with those? At least libertarians acknowledge to the most part that since they believe in little to no government (like some have mentioned on this board) they find it hypocritical to enforce with laws aspects of society they don't agree with (see above) Don't want to wear a mask cool, then keep your hypocritical mouth shut protesting that government needs to enact laws restricting other peoples rights because it makes you feel uneasy. (this wasn't in reference to anyone here, just in general)

Just got back from the Dunnville region. Haven't seen waves or surge that high in 7 years of living/visiting in the Lake Erie region. I witnessed the halloween storm but this was the first time I felt like it was actual chasing. Started outside of Dunnville and made my way to the inlaws. Had my Kestrel and registered a few gusts at 109km but not close to what Port Colborne or St.Catherines saw. Waves built steadily and just after sunset the lake overtook the 6 foot break wall (sunk and damaged from previous storms its getting fixed soon) Id estimate the wave height was about 10-15 feet. Looking directly out we can see the towns of Angola-Dunkirk. Just non stop spray from the top of the waves out in the middle of the lake facing that direction right before night fell. Nothing to do with this current topic but can you guys Haldimand-Norfolk and Port Colborne from the south towns? You guys have the quick elevation gain away from Lake Erie on that side while we are just flat farmlands like the Midwest on this side.

wow, thanks for sharing that. I guess it sets the precedence that it can/will happen again at some point

Ya, those are starting to become some legitimate gusts.

Do you think KBUF registers a gust over 65mph?

Aside from that part though the event is starting to look legit. The Grand River conservation authority over here is calling for significant storm surge and flooding in areas near the shoreline. Ill be heading down to the Dunnville-Port Colborne region tomorrow to check it out.

for Lake Ontario or Lake Erie? Lake Superior holds the record for largest wave recorded in the Great Lakes at 28.8 feet in 2017, so though it might be routine getting over 20 feet it starts maxing out the height the waves can get. I tried finding Lake Erie data and almost every article discussing 20+ foot waves had it for Lake Ontario and Lake Huron. Superior routinely goes 23-27 feet in the worst storms. It can happen on Erie but it seems to be the least likely of the Great Lakes to routinely get 20 foot wave storms.

While I enjoy snowstorms, for late November and December I can live with getting 1-2" every 4-5 days from streamers/clippers and temperatures consistently below freezing. Gives it a better Christmas feel haha. Come January-March though I agree that below average temperatures and 1-2" starts to lose the allure.

Lol don't forget elon also said there would be no cases by April. Hes wilfully ignorant with science pertaining to covid but pumps it up for global warming. Not starting a debate about global warming, I just find it funny how when the science helps his pocket book because the government is regulating fossil fuels he's down with it but the moment it impacts his factories its fake.