mississaugasnow

Im all for the cold this time of the year. I dont live right beside a lake anymore but on the Niagara Peninsula. The quicker Lake Erie and Lake Ontario cool down the better prospects for system snow. The warm lakes radiate heat miles inland hampering most early season events in the GTA and Downtown Buffalo. Also heading down to Nicaragua on the 22nd, so if we have to indian summer for a week id rather it happen when im down south haha

A lot of areas in central ontario/northern ontario wont see the ground again until april.

On the Canadian side by Dunnville in Haldimand County if you guys know the area. Worst lake conditions I've ever seen here. Minor damage is already occurring all along the lakefront. (trees down, fences ripped out by the waves, ect..) luckily no major damage.

Could be pretty bad. Lake levels on Erie are very high so lakeshore flooding might be severe.

I know thats a US map but the weather also doesn't stop at the border. Winnipeg Manitoba has a Metro of 850,000k. Just to the west (70 miles) Brandon Manitoba has a population of 60K. Fargo has 120K and Grand Forks 60K. Though a lot of you guys arent wrong with shrugging the shoulders about it haha. Here in Toronto it made the news but more of "wow, that sucks that Manitoba is going to get a blizzard. They get that in October though right...in other news"

Toronto unofficially broke the all time October record with a high of 31.8C or 89.2F beating the record of 31.6C or 88.9F.

Thats why im loving this AN weather here in the eastern great lakes. This time of the year weeks/days make big differences. Right now a very cold day would be 45F and rain like you said, in 3 weeks it could be 35F with rain/snow and first sloppy accumulations for the typically colder regions. Edit-For the great lakes last year we went from 70-80F and endless sunny days in September/Early October to 3-5" of lake effect snow on October 16th. After that winter settled in and we saw countless well below average days. Hoping for a repeat this year

Im enjoying this because September and early October cold is a waste. Same as late February to early April for warmth. Right now 10F below average would give me highs in the upper 50s in about a months time 10F below average would give me lower to mid 40s and a chance at early season snow. It happened last year, September was a scorcher and into Canadian Thanksgiving (2nd weekend in October normally) was warm. A quick flip and by late October we had lows in the 20s and occasional snow. Edit-Im also a seasonal construction worker so Id prefer the 70s and sun. We are trying to close up as many projects throughout the province of Ontario but every year a few dont make the cut.

Up here looks like lower 80s. Definitely hope theres a few more days of 80s but they will start to become rare fast around here. Trees seem to be changing a bit faster than usual, anyone else seeing this?

I was just working up in Timmins Ontario (450 miles due north pretty much of Toronto) and it dipped to 32F this morning resulting in the first real frost of the season. It quickly rebounded to the low 70s and thats why I love late August/September.

Good chance of snow mixing with rain from Algonquin Park (2.5 hours north of Toronto) north into the Val-d'Or regions of Quebec tonight. If that verifies that means a good chance that only July and August dont see snow in that region. By Late September its not unheard of to get flurries up there.

Youve been saying it since March. Now I know your mostly venting, but ill concede that yes, this is now one of the worst starts to the warm season for some time. I havent seen the sun in days

I love it. Next weekend the clocks change as well. So the sun will be setting at 7:30pm in 9 days Also way off topic but I also love March for March Madness. Lets go Bulls, I love the fact Buffalo has emerged on the National stage. Ranked top 25 all season and finally getting some respect.

We should place some bets when all the snow on your property will be fully gone haha. I remember there used to be one with a snowman webcam somewhere in northern MI or Northern MN.

I should probably change my username as I live in rural Hamilton now, just outside Brantford Ontario. The wide open fields and fresh snow made it a mess.

Sorry, not much snow in the city itself. Maybe 1" and some areas that got stuck under some more persistent snowsqualls could have seen 2-3". I was more referencing just outside the main GTA. Even there not much 4-8" but it was the blowing and drifting. Environment Canada issued Blizzard warnings for a good chunk of Southern Ontario which is rare to see.

This will go down as one of the worst storms I've seen. Not really because of snow amount but the blowing and drifting creating consistent white outs. If your travelling outside the GTA today its next to impossible. dozens of road closures and a 50-70 car pileup on the 400 south of barrie has shut that down as well. https://toronto.citynews.ca/2019/02/25/major-pile-up-involving-50-70-vehicles-on-hwy-400-in-barrie/

power went out on Hamilton Mountain for about 20 minutes. Lights have flickered a few times since

Its pretty crazy the difference in winter weather expectations/dealing with snow between LE areas and non-LE areas. Toronto should see 6-10" from this and for me down in Hamilton 4-8". Theres already talk of stay off the roads, work from home if you can, most likely numerous school cancellations. Our local weather station (The weather network) is in storm watch mode. However, you guys just saw widespread 10-20" two weeks ago, that would most likely have crippled Toronto for days. You guys are definitely more prepared for snow compared to us which is funny since it runs against the American-Canadian stereotype of Canadians being winter hardened.

This storm has high bust potential for forecasters. The exact time of changeover, where the dry slot ends up and where exactly the low tracks will be big for the GTHA. My first call would be for a solid 6-10" event north of the 401 followed by freezing rain/ice pellets and then dry slotted. I dont think rain makes it that far north. South of the 401 (Burlington-Toronto) I think 5-8" with freezing rain and ice pellets maybe a brief change over to rain before dry slotted Hamilton-Niagara 3-5" with several hours of ice pellets/freezing rain followed by a few hours of rain followed by dry slot. I think someone in Central/Eastern Ontario ends up with 20"

long time lurker of this sub. I enjoy reading the discussions you guys have, generally when a pattern is good for you its okay for Southern Ontario. Right now I'm in a slightly better position regarding this pattern but still getting shafted by the lows all going far NW of even us here in S.Ontario.

I wonder if there will be enough front end snow + at least .25" of ice to warrant a winter storm watch for the tuesday storm.

I'm not sold yet on the change to a more southern track. If anything I think were seeing the pattern that winter will end with. Its going to be a roller coaster but definitely not boring. As of right now 1" light snow sunday, 2-4" of snow Tuesday followed by rain, 50s and rain Friday.

lol the storm at the end of the week looks to go even further NW. non-stop rain storms for the lower lakes to end out winter....yikes

The first one has a decent chance at front end snow for some that have seen mostly rain. The storm right after it (14-16) might be a bit better for the southern and eastern sub. Way to far away just keeping my eye on that one.