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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. If the hires nam is right, we could see some mood flakes/snow tv here. Light accums not out of the question in higher terrain east of the apps.
  2. 60s and severe thunderstorms with flooding. Won't be surprised to see it this winter, too. (Not saying I also expect another Jan 1996)
  3. Also looks like remnants of a STJ from last year’s el nino
  4. Worth noting that the warm members aren’t THAT warm
  5. After hitting 70 yesterday, just missed the 60 degree mark with a high of 59 today
  6. Stayed under 60 imby, high of 59. Will probably have a midnight low tonight
  7. Or just not cold enough. I agree there’s a chance as depicted, and if it does happen it would be an extra bonus.
  8. Yeah, this is a totally different team than the sorry one under Snyder. They’ll take their lumps like last night, but overall will be fine.
  9. I’m a little more optimistic than the worst case scenarios, more like 7-10” for DC and west, 4-7” SE (similar to Don S’s thoughts). Could really happen in one storm and then that’s all she wrote. Could also be a <4” shutout but I think this season will have a surprise curveball or two for us.
  10. That’s to be expected as the mjo circles through the warm phases. It’s what happens after that I’m interested in.
  11. BWI: 9.4” DCA: 5.1” IAD: 12.3” RIC: 2.8” Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.3”
  12. Same, 0.34”. Just enough to skip watering my new grass for one evening.
  13. Yeah, that’s the beginning of the time frame that I’m interested in. Around then through roughly mid Jan, depending on the MJO
  14. MJO rmm ens forecasts currently predict another 4-6 pass between Thanksgiving and mid-December-ish. November will be mild overall for the east, but might have some variability on the cooler side, potentially a huge lake effect event late Nov or an interior snowfall in the NE. Then likely turn back milder for the first half of December. Beyond that is when I’m watching for it to turn, if at all.
  15. A bit of a SE ridge linking up with the -NAO, looks familiar. Hope we get some rain, anyway.
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