Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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In other news, I got a new job! And it’s in the weather field (and other adjacent fields).
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2008-09 is indeed one of my analogs for this winter. Even with all the brouhaha over the upcoming pattern and the stalling “nina”, my thoughts about this winter haven’t changed.
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WB NAM gives mby 1-2” but TT shows no accumulation the south side of the potomac. Probably more realistic. My bar is snow TV, no accums.
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Walking outside now and seeing a few IP mixed in with light rain. 46
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Yes I remember that one. Veteran’s day storm. Went sledding as a kid, and I remember thinking “if it snows this early, this is going to be a monster winter” (which didn’t necessarily transpire that way lol)
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At least LWX sees something for mby:
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If there’s going to be two threats, the one in beginning of dec would be the better one than TG. But I’d love a cold TG day, even if its rain.
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front just passed through, it was really loud. Got worried about damage for a few minutes
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Putting my hand on the window, feeling it vibrate. My daughter got scared, going up now to console her
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Wind front passing now. Making a heck lot of noise
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162 for atlantic
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Pouring
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If the hires nam is right, we could see some mood flakes/snow tv here. Light accums not out of the question in higher terrain east of the apps.
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60s and severe thunderstorms with flooding. Won't be surprised to see it this winter, too. (Not saying I also expect another Jan 1996)
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Also looks like remnants of a STJ from last year’s el nino
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Worth noting that the warm members aren’t THAT warm
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After hitting 70 yesterday, just missed the 60 degree mark with a high of 59 today
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Low of 37
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Stayed under 60 imby, high of 59. Will probably have a midnight low tonight
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Lower 50s and breezy. Feels like November
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Or just not cold enough. I agree there’s a chance as depicted, and if it does happen it would be an extra bonus.
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Yeah, this is a totally different team than the sorry one under Snyder. They’ll take their lumps like last night, but overall will be fine.
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I’m a little more optimistic than the worst case scenarios, more like 7-10” for DC and west, 4-7” SE (similar to Don S’s thoughts). Could really happen in one storm and then that’s all she wrote. Could also be a <4” shutout but I think this season will have a surprise curveball or two for us.
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That’s to be expected as the mjo circles through the warm phases. It’s what happens after that I’m interested in.
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Ended up with 0.37”
