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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    And earlier neg tilt, which could mean more moisture feed. Too early to tell
  2. Terpeast
    Just spitballing based on gut feel, no real scientific reasoning. I think the best waa banding will occur just to the north of me. Hopefully I can stay within that band too
  3. Terpeast
    Happy new year all!
  4. Terpeast
    Looking ahead, some ridging is trying to push into Alaska again, which would keep the EPO from going too positive.
  5. Terpeast
    Nice set of 0z and 6z runs. The south trend needed to stop and it did. This is now within 5 days. Confidence is ticking higher.
  6. Terpeast
    And btw, happy new year everyone!
  7. Terpeast
    Ukie further south and bit slower
  8. Terpeast
    So, here’s where we are at. 3 models tonight - icon, gfs, cmc - stopped the suppression trend and brought the storms back north. Bit weaker confluence, better wave spacing by slowing the storm down 6ish hours.
  9. Terpeast
    Actually the models sped up this storm since early yesterday, and then now slowing it down a bit.
  10. Terpeast
    CMC had us flirting with the mix line. This is as far north as we want it to go.
  11. Terpeast
    I’ll take it. The south shift stopped and its back north per gfs. Probably some more wiggling to do, but starting to settle on the general track. Which is the kind of track we want.
  12. Terpeast
    Confluence def more east
  13. Terpeast
    Better, but careful. Don’t want to overcorrect
  14. Terpeast
    And not much difference in the NE low
  15. Terpeast
    Gfs is running. @stormtracker you still alive?
  16. Terpeast
    Not surprisingly. We need better wave spacing
  17. Terpeast
    We better stop the south trend tonight though
  18. Terpeast
    Love that movie. Can’t watch it too many times
  19. Terpeast
    On my second beer, victory Merry Monkey. We’ll see if I make it through the pbp tonight haha
  20. Terpeast
    I’m gonna stay up just for @stormtracker’s pbp. It’s epic when done drunk
  21. Terpeast
    0.38” per my new weather station imby
  22. Terpeast
    Larry Cosgrove
  23. Terpeast
    Past 4 runs, GFS has been zig zagging between N and S. Maybe it's just trying to come in better focus.
  24. Terpeast
    I think the ICON is in error because no other model closes off a tiny low off baja and lets it just sit and spin. I'd regard it as a one-off, but monitor closely.
  25. Terpeast
    I think the cold being centered the W or SW is a good thing as opposed to it being right on top of us.
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