MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Got the Kuchera???? And only 246 hours away. What are we thinking for ratios?
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Just got back from the store. All set here.
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I've seen nothing today that makes me want to change my ongoing forecast for my immediate area and south and east along I-78/I80. Holding steady with 6-10" for now. Fully planning on a mix with sleet here and probably a bit sooner than later. Could be wrong but we'll know for sure in about 48 hours. If the NAM is still beating this 18Z drum at 00Z this evening and 12Z tomorrow there is going to be some cliff jumping. Not buying it hook, line and sinker just yet but keeping the option open.
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Nice that a good part of this event will be taking place during the day !
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He may well be, I don't watch. In this case he will be so far out of his league. Honestly I find the guy to be 5 bricks short of a load. A little cray cray if you ask me but then again nobody did so....moving on.
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One of those guys has no business being there.
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Mt. Holly cut back totals over SNJ.
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I gotta agree. Watching the NAM closely and not ignoring it. To blindly write it off as wrong is setting yourself up for disappointment. At least keep it in the back of your mind. If it is doing this on the 12Z runs tomorrow believe it. Still early enough for pause with it as of now.
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We know that but does most of the regular public know that?
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I’ll take my weather app for the win.
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Yeah. Verbatim it just about makes it to my location and stops.
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Just based off the 00Z NAM for what it may or may not be worth I'm good with my 6-10" early call. We'll see how it plays out.
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If that is indeed the track they take, I need to see rest of 00Z guidance before I lean that way, then 100% we're going over to sleet for a large part of this sub forum. You can't avoid mid level warming with 700/850 lows to Lake Erie. This is where we were at at 9:00 this morning. The 12Z guidance and 18Z guidance for the most part backed away from that, except for the CMC stuff. Let's see what the rest of the 00Z guidance has to say.
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When I went through it it was just cold. In this situation the cold will be extreme. Can't imagine no heat in this.
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Went through that once. Never again I hope.
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Out of our area but check out this sounding from RDU area. Warm nose is rather deep and freezing layer is very shallow just a little above the deck at about 1000 mb. level. Some locations down that way are going to get crushed with ZR and be without power for days in bitter cold. Bad scene.
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More recon, this time over the Gulf going into the models.
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I can give you a few candidates I'd lay money on.
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I wonder why?
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Journalism is DEAD. Died a long time ago.
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Got up to 45 here. Not sure what the forecast was. I wasn't paying attention. I like that my heating system got a 1 day reprieve.
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You don't see a map like this every Winter.
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Wouldn't you think they would want it the other way? I don't know, I would think they would lose the public's confidence by going down more so than going up. I won't beat it to death.
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Man oh man the cold just keeps unloading out of Canada over the next 10 days or so and MAYBE into early February. The actual temperatures and departure from normal maps are pretty astounding honestly.
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Check out the rapid ice buildup on Lake Erie over the last 10 days or so. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
