MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Just .06" last 24 hours (8am - 8am) here. Five day event total = 1.28". While a far cry from early advertisements of 3-6" it was a slow and beneficial rain event spread over several days. Some places clearly did better than others but most everyone received .50 - .75". Beautiful sunny, dry and breezy morning. Additional rains 1-2" (maybe some locally higher amounts) Thursday night through Friday. All in all when the recently ended event and the upcoming events over the next 5-10 days get added up the drought conditions should be pretty much erased. Maps: Yesterday and five day totals - click to enlarge
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Can do without the hail but would be happy with another .5" of rain or so if lucky enough to get under a heavier downpour.
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Received .62" last 24 hours here - 8am to 8am. Four day event total = 1.22". Quality over quantity. The 1.22" has been slow, gentle and spread over 4 days. All of it got to soak in instead of running off. No excessive totals (3-4"+) for this forum so far but some places did better than others.
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Latest EURO for JJA agrees on warmer than normal Summer. Especially nations mid-section where it shows the largest positive departures. FWIW.
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Rainfall totals so far over the last 3 days - click to enlarge. Received just .09" here yesterday for a 3 day event total so far of .60". As I mentioned yesterday the best totals so far have been over far NW NJ and radar yesterday was certainly confirming that yesterday afternoon. Radar echoes now rotating in from the southeast as opposed to last 3 days where things were moving NNE. Best / heaviest totals next 24 hours look to be from NE NJ on east and north. Lighter amounts elsewhere.
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Guidance only but this WPC product has shown shrinking rainfall totals for days now. If I get what is shown here for my location and add the .50" I've had so far I'll end up with about 1.75" for the entire "wet period". I'll take it for sure but a far cry from what could have been and much less than what was being forecast from when we started. We'll see where final totals actually end up but this was a shaky heavy (3-4"+) rainfall evolution from the get go. So far extreme NW NJ seems to be doing best, from western Hunterdon, western Warren and up through NW Sussex.
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Received .19" from overnight showers. Two day event total = .51". Need more but something is better than nothing and the ground is at least somewhat primed for anything heavier over the next 1-2 days.
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Absolutely amazing photos Don.
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Per my buddy in Pittstown, Hunterdon County. Fast moving T-storm with strong winds and hail.
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My app forecast has made it look like the second coming of the flood of Noah for days now. Anyone just going off that (and many do) was played.
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Yeah, anyone with gardening or ag interests needs to be watering regularly lately. We really could use a good 1-2" soaking. Soils here are dust dry down to 6-8" at least.
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.32" here with fast moving heavier showers last evening and again around mid-night. Warm and humid morning with just some high clouds. First morning with a summer feel.
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Consolidated area broke up into more showery pattern. Very brief moderate downpour with a distant flash of lightning to my NW. Meh.
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Watching this batch of heavier showers over EPA. Holding together and sliding ENE. Moving along at about 20 mph.
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1-2 minute torrential downpour here about 6:00. Was very warm and muggy today as others have said. Sign of things to come I guess.
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This was always a shaky evolution. We'll see what the final results are but the super hefty event totals (3-4"+) are looking very questionable especially along and east of I95.
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And it will be spread over a few days so it will soak in gradually. I'd be very happy with 2" of rainfall spread over 3-4 days.
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Roughly about 35 minutes remaining on sunrise gains and sunset gains. Slow gain on both between now and about June 21st. To @MJO812and @nycwinter hang in there !
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Latest from WPC has shifted max totals northward (vs. 12Z issuance) from VA Piedmont northward into PA, southern tier of NY and into NJ. This is through 00Z, Thurs. 5/8. Will all depend on placement of upper low and speed at which it exits. Needless to say I would be thrilled with half these totals. Possible southeast fetch lifted into the higher terrain of PA, NJ, NYS could deliver heavy totals but still subject to how upper low evolves.
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Same here!
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April precipitation here was 4.76". While a nice total most of that fell in the first 12 days. Only an additional .74" fell from the 13th. through the 30th. April also delivered 1.5" snow for a 2024-25 total of 30.9". Rainfall amounts over the next week will depend greatly on final track / placement of upper low. Slight positioning and speed differences will have big impact on who gets what. Thinking a compromise of wet EURO / CMC vs. dry GFS is way to go at the moment as @bluewave said. Pattern has potential to deliver or disappoint. With the wind, low humidity and lack or rainfall over the last 2 weeks or so we could use a 1"+ soaking.
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Nice time lapse of T-Storms moving through NYC early Saturday evening. https://x.com/i/status/1916519549328896468
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And if correct will also keep things on the drier side of normal on a NW flow.
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Two day event totals. Click to enlarge Here is link: https://www.cocorahs.org/
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Two day total here was .60". Not great but better than nothing. Windy again with gusts into the mid 30's.
