HKY_WX
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Everything posted by HKY_WX
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do u guys have a link to the chase stream
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Waterboro got pasted
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Headed towards chs. Hope it fades bf
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Geeze
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Nasty supercell w debris sig near scotia.
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Day 6 and 7 00z Euro is interesting from a pattern standpoint. The strong cut off over new England would promote phasing and a low closer to the coast for the trailing PJ wave. Something to monitor.
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I live close to there. We've had off/on power flashes for the past few hours. Probably got 2.5 inches. Maybe 3. Very very wet snow.
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Little over 2 inches here in NW Raleigh. Very wet snow. Just took a walk w/ the wife and dog. Fun times.
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No clue. Don't think I've checked a NWS forecast for 10 years. Don't need to lol.
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THis is going to be a solid snow in Wake County. It's 33 here in NW Raleigh with moderate snow and it's laying already. This is supposed to keep up till 1am per the mesoscale models. Definitely think 3 to 6 is easily attainable.
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Solid light to moderate snow in NW Raleigh. Coming down at a good clip now. Starting to get some slushly accumulations on elevated sfcs.
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That's a ridiculous system day 5-7 on the euro. Huge phase and strong SLP. Could bring more SVR weather to the east coast. Would be a huge snowstorm over the ohio valley. Looks like winter decided to start in Mid February this year.
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Flurries/Rain/Graupel here in NW Raleigh.
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Agreed. I think youre sitting pretty for the sweet spot. Some of the meso' models have 8 or 9 inches in that general Greenville area.
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Seriously... The weather channel?
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I think RDU is wrong on the later start. IMO the later the better, as it gives more time for the dry air to filter in. There will be some pretty epic temperature drops over central/eastern NC as the column moistens later this afternoon.
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Thinking 3 to 5 is still a good bet for raleigh. Don't see much yet that would alter the forecast.
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Nice strong NE breeze here in NW Raleigh and overcast.
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I do think there will be some banding setting up after 7PM over the eastern piedmont/coastal plain. I'm just not sure if this sets up over Fayetteville or closer to the Rocky Mount/Greenville area. Or potentially further north towards Elizabeth City.
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I think the only way we get to the RDPS or higher is if we find ourselves in this banding that will setup tonight. It will likely setup east of Raleigh, but if it were to setup over us, that could be a game changers. This is all due to the PJ wave diving in behind, giving some last minute life to the SLP/atlantic fetch.
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Latest RDU totals via Kuchera Method: 15z HRR = 2.2 12zGFS = 1.8 12zNAM = 3.5 12z RDPS = 5.9 Average = 3.3 inches at RDU
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The GSO 12z sounding has a nice dry layer at from 700mb down to 950mb. THis will likely result in some quick cooling aloft. I think a transition from rain to sleet/snow won't take long once the higher ratest begin this afternoon. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/20022012_OBS/
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I think the one thing that is interesting to note is the HP being configured over the plains generally favors the eastern portion of the state from a CAD perspective. It doesn't funnel the dry air as close to the Apps as well as a banana HP parked over PA. That may be part of the issue for foothills and NW Piedmont from a snow total perspective.
