Baum

The guy with the green grass better get the tarp out. Metro Chicago headed, if lucky, for a 1-2" thump followed by drizzle and white slush balls falling from tree limbs. Sadly, if you like winter, this is a huge improvement.

Euro is an toss. Too amped and has been playing this game early on for years, It'll have this over Knoxville by game day. The UKMET agrees with Alek.

I think this about sums it up.

The rally to average this year will be fun.

I believe.

GFS says "start the thread" title recommendation," Can we pull one out of our Azz crack Event 1/19/23?"

^ that can be construed as a potentially white period for some areas as has been relayed by RC, OH Weather, and Chistorm. Normal to slightly above temps during a wet period in mid-late January is hardly a deal breaker for many. Or a transition period.The Minneapolis snow train may be out to edge south and east.

you forgot to add "no pun intended."

RC offers a glimmer: THE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY POINTING TOWARD THERE FINALLY BEING A SHAKE-UP IN THE REMARKABLY MILD PATTERN WE'VE BEEN IN TO A MORE SEASONABLE AND PROBABLY STILL ACTIVE LOOK, SO *MAYBE* SOME MORE APPRECIABLE SNOW THREATS INTO LATE JANUARY. each of the last 2 months have flipped cold after mid month. Let's see if the palm guy takes another beating on his tropical paradise setting in beer town.

it was a good ride Minny, but it's over now....or until May.

until we see an amped storm cut through the OV entraining cold air and gulf moisture while intensifying versus a progressive weakening SE slider we are in winter hades. Been over 3 years at minimum by my count.

ride it.

why not.

^ "extinction event of 250 million years ago" When the mid range winter forecast scenario goes to shiat, why not go back in time. btw...i have started to hear of some rumblings of change afoot.

Time to rename the thread: "Needle meet eye"

here's the equation: + =

could very well scoot to the south and east. Call me when we get a wound up Oklahoma Hooker in winter. It's been a minute.

wrong thread....self anointed thread police.

I see this thread lit up with the overnight model runs. Will check morning AFD's for verification.Ah, the all important caveat to hang your hat on: IT'S IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THIS SHORT WAVE IS STILL SOME 1500 MILES WEST OF SAN FRANCISCO THIS MORNING, AND CURRENT MODEL EVOLUTION INVOLVES AT LEAST SOME DEGREE OF PHASING WITH A NORTHERN STREAM WAVE WHEN IT REACHES OUR REGION THREE DAYS FROM NOW. THUS WOULD EXPECT GUIDANCE TO CONTINUE TO DEPICT SOME RUN TO RUN DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS WITH THIS SYSTEM, MAKING DISCUSSION OF EVENTUAL LOCAL IMPACTS MORE GENERAL AT THIS TIME.

^ Looking forward to my May snow.

got me.

May will bring reality days. Stiff NE winds off a 36 degree body of water. Colorado Low parked over Fort Wayne and a raging rainstorm with mixed in flakes at 33.5 degrees. Milwaukee climo. won't be denied.

unfortunately, even if you were spot on you'd be looking at 90 more days of what you're looking at this morning...fog,drizzle, and 35. Enjoy.

I was up in Beer Town last weekend. Felt and looked the same. And never some one palm. Disappointing to say the least.