Baum

Begonia's still rolling in my back yard.

yup, Dee just countered Alek's futility call.............ride it.

was in Petoskey,MI last week for the snow, returned home to an 80 degree weekend. Volatility FTW.

all in jest. I never really feel a certain storm track in October or November is a harbinger of winter cyclone tracks. Much more a pattern guy once we get later into November. Personally, would like to see a mild/dry pattern through a good part of November in hopes of change late month or early December. We're due for some weather around the holiday season.

^ establishing the train tracks of winter 2022/23 storms in October is also key.

spectacular year in these parts. Best I can recall. And the peak coinciding with neat 80 degree temps on a weekend is a rare feat. Suspect they will be clogging the storm drains tommorow.

from your backyard.

really going to enjoy the next three days. Guessing last prolonged warm spell until December. Might even take down the Christmas lights.

only guy on the board that drought and fire chases. Sicko.

kiss of death for breaking the recent trends of a mild and dry Decembers

Izzi about to bust to tame on his call.

" THEN CONDITIONS COULD BECOME VERY BAD. REASONABLE WORST CASE SCENARIO WOULD INCLUDE A PERIOD OF INTENSE (THUNDER?)SNOW WITH RATES >2"/HOUR (WHICH WOULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAY), EXTREMELY LOW VISIBILITY, AND CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS OVER 40MPH. THE HEAVY, WET NATURE OF THE SNOW WOULD LIKELY STICK TO TREES WHICH ARE STILL LEAFED OUT WITH STRONG WINDS LIKELY DOWNING TREES LIMBS AND POWER LINES " I love it when IZZI goes rogue. Caveat:"THERE ARE A MANY UNCERTAINTIES AND POTENTIAL FAILURE MODES," Wonder who the next Met in the office gets to unravel "The Full Izzi" ?

"FOR ALL INTENTS AND PURPOSES, MONDAY'S WEATHER COULD EASILY BE A FORECAST ANY GIVEN DAY IN JANUARY!" - IZZIED sadly 40 degrees with a chance of flurries is not my idea of a great January day.

under the radar bust. LOT's Freeze Warning. Didn't appear to be close. Growing season continues....

The BAM map looks more like a layout of each snowfal that fell in the LOT area last snowfall season. Minus the overdo in Mchenry county.

well, than they can't go wrong.

mumbo jumbo. If you could piece 5000 words together without actually saying anything of substance or commitment this fakecast stands out as brilliant.

1. Models show a Oklahoma hooker 4 days out. Complete model consensus for my back yard. 2. As the hooker organizes in the desert southwest an energized clipper rides down and lays a 4" blanket of powder down and storng winds from N-NE usher in arctic air. 3. In clippers wake on going snowshowers blow in from Lake Michingan. 4. 48 hours out all models consensus 12"-18" swath of 15:1 ratio snows with winds in excess of 35 mph sustained. 5. 24 hours out complete model consensus on a blizzard. Consensus so strong no board arguments as a my backyard as the lollipop is a lock. 6. Blizzard warnings issued. Snowshowers begin to increase off lake as storm intensifies over Texarkana. Kansas City already shut down due to 5 hours of 2" per hour rates and thunder and lightning. 7. Gametime. Radar lit. Winds howling. Businesses closing in preparation. Snow begins in earnest. 8. After 12 hours of non stop snow/wind/ thunder 19" has fallen citywide. Drifts 5-6' in areas. 9. Complete forecast verification. High spot downtown Chicago with 26" amounts due to lake enhancement. Mchenry County and Cedar Rapids IA are the lower end of the spectrum with 4" and 6" respectively. Mets can't explain the phenomenon. 10. As the storm winds down, another organizes over Colorado.

^Here'a hoping your next post regarding a dusting of snow is not January 16th, 2023.

heavy rain and wind non stop boomers. A fitting farewell to summer.

lightning and thunder

it's early, but winter thread has been tame. I'll help. Has anybody seen JB's call for the winter? Cold and snowy or Vodka Cold with record shattering, roof collapsing , retina burning eye blinding repeat blizzards commencing on the Thanksgiving Holiday? Caveat snow holes in Cedar Rapids, IA and Mchenry, IL. Carnage all around.

money. passed out as the storm rolled in.

just cracked a leinies oktoberfest....thinking it'll be straight whiskey in a few hours once bears/pack kick off. I'm good with a miss south. Prefer to suffer through my azz whippings with the power on.

September heatwaves are grand. Nice, warm days, lower sun angle, and quick cool off in the evenings. Enjoy it while you can.