cleetussnow

Any further west than the GFS prolly goes the other side of the Apps since apps runners are hard to pull off. If we get lucky an apps runner scenario might transfer and that works. Much modeling to go.

Same thought here, but I dare not mention that storm. What grabbed my attention is that the thing hugs and yet snows at the coast because of the deepening low.

I'll get everything out to set up the intervention booths in case.

GFS a titch flatter this run at 102

Checked the cam on the Tobin. Good news is the line is relatively short.

I don't know. The icon is bad but not useless. Maybe at this range it is but it's something and people on here need to something to masticate (or masturbate, depending) on to hold them over until breakfast (GFS) and lunch (Euro). and bring back the weenie tag. Why did that go away?

No need to pull him out. He posts all the time down in the NYC forum since he moved to NJ. WDrag. Very accessible to.

They can wait. We are. For 200 more hours.

We are here to win it! Damn right we are!

Hold up - All these posts about 'too bad it's hour 200, 'you don't want to be in the jackpot this far out...etc.' I say BS for the following reasons: 1. Where would you rather be right now? Low cutting up into Detroit? Nova Scotia? Ripped up shredded mess out underneath us? Are those better? 2. The pattern on multiple models has been developing the most favorable pattern we have seen in many years. Do you expect there to NOT be a storm right where you want given the GEFS/EPS/GEM depictions of late? We generally accept the pattern features to be favorable, why not a storm? 3. When is it BAD to see a snowstorm depicted? I say never. 4. MANY times storms of biggie magnitude are picked up at these time frames. '93 is an example when models were limited. Boxing day was coming into focus. It faded in the middle cycles, but the longer-range depictions were correct. Again: Men and Women:

Trough on the GFS sharpened right up and has a coastal look. There is a neutral tilt down in GA

Fixed.

Eh. No big deal. Couple of western outliers too. I love the look.

Yep.

Janice Huff, the terrible NYC telemet said 2 inches on the 24th 11 PM broadcast. Lee Goldberg was hyping possibilities. That guy Nick whatshisface from fox 5 was honking blizzard. It was a great storm.

Everytime this storm comes up I mention that the newspapers reported this storm 5 days out. Thats pretty good!

It will on the 12z GFS hr. 36 panel next Thursday.

R/S line is about 15 miles north of me on the NAM and about 4 miles south of me on the GFS. I am not optimistic as a modelled battleground is usually south of the actual battleground. I am just north of HPN so right around there is my AO.

Bullseye is literally my house. Congrats everyone else cuz it ain't happening.

Snowstorms? I got bit by a mosquito just now. Need to dig out the bug spray.

He hasn’t changed his thoughts on the pattern in 30 years.

Army Navy next weekend looks nautical. Like last year. Storm arrives Friday (when we set up our tailgate) then backs up saturday with the LP overhead. 40s and driving rain winds out of the north. Terrific.

I got us covered, Stu. Sold my snowmobiles this morning and got rid of my Vermont camp last year. It's as iron clad signal for a cold and snowy winter as it gets. Back in '94 my uncle bought a grizzly sized tracked snowblower on account of the Blizzard of '93. Halfway through the winter of '94 he complained it didn't snow and paid all this money for it. I told him that was the best Gottdamn snowblower he ever could have imagined. Cleared his driveway and everyone else's for hundreds of miles around!!! He got 25 inches shortly after that in Feb though. Changed his tune.

Earthlight has a good reputation and was a frequent poster here a few years back.

Different than last December at least