cleetussnow

Stay safe

Tou fuckin che!

It’s moving at exactly the same pace it has for eons and we are 10 days in. so from a purely quantitative standpoint, your post is as pointless as it is meritless.

I see our resident nonsense generator is running full tilt to kick off the new year.

Hair dryer should clean it all up.

Yeah I looked at the LR when he posted - upper air looked good, then I looked at surface and it was trash warm so, he was on to something.

Yes and this is why seasonal forecasts that simply bias warm every single season are right enough to keep their jobs. Write of a bunch of baloney about why what enso pattern and weather this and that will cause warm conditions (barely mention climate) and get that champagne ready for the false positive. If anything the signals of old have decayed in value - why bother. studies show that if people had a chance to pick heads or tails with money at stake using a coin weighted 60% tails, some people, in fact most, pick heads from time to time. Going colder is a losing bet anyway just let’s get attribution right in a couple words. You’ll go broke banking cold.

I was thinking the exact same thing.

We may have enough winter peak climo to fight off warm anomalies. I see what the pope is saying wrt to warmth, at the same time the pattern looks good.

Miller B type cinematic on the operational GFS for a couple runs now for ~the 7th which should be no surprise.

What lake is the source of the squall in West Virginia? They’ve never experienced this phenomena you speak of, so do explain.

I’m more bullish this winter, but the 10-15 day patterns have been a let down in recent years. The block has got my attention so let’s see if a KU emerges. The pattern for January is at least for our region is vastly differently than the weeklies a couple weeks back. What a flip flop.

The nam is kicking butt this storm in a most diabolical fashion. When you want it to be wrong, it’s right, and when you want it to be right, it’s wrong. Nuff to drive a man insane

Of course you would.

Put the pipe down with the Nam. Its taking a dirt nap for a reason. It fucking sucks.

I am in a warning now 4 - 8. I feel good about 6 here and if some ratios work out maybe an extra puff to get closer to 8. I’ll sign for 6 though.

Uh Forky is

When did the NAM become your go-to model? And which run are you gagging on? It caved with a wild swing as plain as day. Your red tag is not a license to troll. Although it seems that way. Why don’t you and Greta snuggle up to a good murder book and sit this one out. Snowman and qq are on their way over with a six pack so make room for them. Merry Christmas Holy Shit

We trade prisoners from time to time. Welcome.

Bump for wiggle room - pray we have enough room left!

Why you got to harsh of everyone’s chill? It’s freaking Christmas for Christs sake. Greta has left the chat for the next couple of weeks.

A bit soon for a lock which is worrying. We got 8 more cycles to go for that. Might wobble some and expect it, so we will need to come back to ourselves and not get overly concerned. We don’t want big moves, thats for sure.

Gfs has that north trend on full display I was talking about that effs over Philly. For NYC, this is a good run but it needs to hold. Remember for the most snow, you need to sniff taint so roll the dice, city folks. Rooting for that to break the 4 inch shit streak down there for y’all.

All day long. Lets do it the GFS way this time.