that November 18-20 storm has trended really south lol
end of the run was kinda cool as well
but it also showed flurries for the area tonight
lots of things to love
HRRR 15 min shows some not so insignificant radar returns around 12 AM. Are we staying up for this 10% chance of rain/snow, folks? Temperatures are around 35 @ DC.
Two questions:
The snowfall that winter wasn't that impressive.
1. Is this because it was too cold?
2. If it was because it was too cold, would we see more snow in the modern climate?
So the Euro and GFS have switched solutions such that the GFS gives us snow and the Euro doesn't because it goes to NC, but overall its the same look--gfs caves to the euro
it seems like we've narrowed in closer towards a more unified consensus. two questions: is a dead ratter like 22-23 off the table, and is the ceiling higher than 24-25?
my wag at next week, west has a better chance of accumulation (obviously) and South of DC is favored to see some flurries (if anything manages to happen there).
on the bright side, however, 12z EPS shows a decent signal (albeit slightly less than last 12z), showing 29 out of 50 (58%) hits for at least one of the four airports.