bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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this is a nicer looking forecast than 2024-25 this time last year.
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my major question is why the world doesn't just slightly adjust back from those events like the 15-16 super nino? is it just "unable" to?
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kinda seems like ur "grasping at straws". everything about last year was a la nina except enso, which was pretty close. it's foolish to think that -0.4 is much different than -0.7.
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I doubt a dead ratter... and you shouldn't be calling winter over in early September. Models can't predict things three weeks out, why should it do something different three months out?
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not really overall, but i do think we are about of the insane depression stretch starting with 23-24 and 24-25. this winter should be at least okay imo. plus, we have better days ahead.
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I'm all for it. I think we'll have a lot of fun tracking to do.
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We're going to get a lot of snow soon. Maybe it'll be this winter. Maybe it'll be the next. I don't know how we're going to get it. I don't know when we're going to get it. But I'm sure of two things--we're going to get hammered sometime soon. And we're going to love it.
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aren't we due for a blizzard? it's been nine years since the last one.
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What's winter looking like as of now? A slightly worse version of last year?
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we can still pull this up to -2 to -1, right? something like last winter?
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are we already trying to skip this winter and wait for the 26-27 nino?
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p11 looks spicy the GEFS is trying to turn our thing from a phantom to an "undead" zombie
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Called it. 3/10 was our trackable window. And now we're dealing with our April Fools phantom.
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GEFS is smokin as well
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we're just joking around we know it's not going to snow in april so when guidance shows some whacky shit then we have fun with it it's nothin serious
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gfs and euro are spitting out crazy stuff lol things balance out eventually. there was the feb 19-20 debacle perhaps this can be the april fools miracle?
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Looking at the ENSO thread some are thinking that 2025-26 will be warm-neutral and 2026-27 will be an El Nino. What's the snowfall correlation for +PDO warm-neutral?
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i don't mind it--around this time last year there was a strong la nina favored
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right now temps are the least of our issues. we need to secure a storm first.
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unfortunately but as expected, the 6z GFS is even worse than 0z
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gotta get used to positive ji
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jinxed it
