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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. this is probably the most active i've seen this place since march 2025
  2. euro ensemble gives us 30-40% for 2+" QPF!!
  3. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    let it snow in november, december, january, february, march, and april!
  4. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    it's very likely his only analog is 2013-14
  5. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but was one of the reasons the PDO skyrocketed last winter due to the much warmer waters in Nino 1+2? I'm asking this because I'm uncertain about how hostile the PDO will be for this winter.
  6. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    nobody is, not even bluewave. it's just that anthonymm guy
  7. The number of operational runs that gave us 1+" of rain I can probably count on one hand. We came into this event expecting this to go out to sea, so it's a miracle that we're even talking about rain on the table. So please, enlighten me, on how this will be an Imelda redux.
  8. last winter makes me paranoid but careful optimism is always a decent strategy
  9. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    it's a weak correlation at -0.07, so...
  10. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    I believe you are correct. -NAO in October means it's more likely than not for +NAO in DJF.
  11. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    warmer climate "folks" lol
  12. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    got a feeling this'll be similar to last winter in the way that we had no idea what was coming for us... not saying it'll snow 50 inches or even 20 for that matter but it'll be a regression towards the mean after snow droughts we've been having
  13. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    january 22-23, 2026. it's almost poetic
  14. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    actually not that bad... +1-2 with near normal precip is something i'll take
  15. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    so we still have a shot sooner or later?
  16. bncho

    Winter 2025-26

    when will we get a year that's best case 09-10 and worst case 02-03
  17. "imagine if the rain were snow"
  18. i'm gonna say this every day until the first snowfall
  19. there's no february 19-20 redux dude. we're not talking about a blizzard, we're talking about a hurricane.
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