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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. this is what we're reeling in at this point
  2. It was one step forward, one step back. literally shifted south 50 miles, which is noise for the GFS.
  3. catching strays outta nowhere lol anyway, i kinda want this little shitty frontal passage to happen. would be a nice birthday present for me. All I want is a nice 1-2" pack refresher.
  4. If I could get a +PDO Nino I’d take my chances with that, but there’s no denying that the upcoming February pattern is damn good. I’d take it any day of the week.
  5. @psuhoffman correct me if I’m wrong, but isn’t a +qbo Nino better than a -qbo Nino? I don’t see anything that would suggest a -qbo next year, could you provide some insight into what you’re seeing?
  6. Doesn't the flip to a slightly -PNA/+EPO regime counteract the dry issue with strong -NAOs, while also guaranteeing that most systems that hit us will be cold enough for snow (due to that strong -NAO)?
  7. And then there's one last kick to the balls at the very end of the run. Maybe it'll climb up the coast. It's a normal GFS run, lol.
  8. Congrats NC. At least this storm shows the potential for Feb 11+
  9. Last time the GFS showed a major winter storm 300 hours out, it was damn good at forecasting where the mix line would be, as well as where the storm would track.
  10. It's going to be supressed, and RIC/Bob Chill gets the brunt of it.
  11. where the genuine hell are you finding all of these storm types? what's next, miller e, the cutter?
  12. You're thinking we're getting a west-based +QBO Nino, or did I misunderstand this post and and the one you replied to?
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