bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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gonna call it a night now. set an alarm for 4:30 to watch the snow fall. i'm betting on the fact that FCPS will cancel eventually
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Bad is hyperbole IMO. It's only a slight tick downward.
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0.2" QPF makes it up to DC, but kuchera advertises 15:1 ratios, so be aware this is likely too high
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relative to the expected storm totals is probably what i should've prefaced
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NAM 3km is genuinely looking like a NAM'ing
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the moon is ready for snow.
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34/21.
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shift south lol
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FCPS is delayed but they will reassess tomorrow for a closure. I am happy. Maybe I will become even happier.
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Yes, I know it's 90 %tile, but I just don't understand how this is even remotely possible.
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You have a point, but I would disagree. The HRRR 48 hour runs are unreliable, but anything within 24 I would say hold some meaningful weight.
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Interesting.... 23z HRRR with the heaviest totals just south of DC.
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If you live 20 miles south of DC, you will LOVE the HRRR.
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23z HRRR might be showing what Terpeast is alluding to... there's a heavy band about 25 miles south of DC.
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The latest HRRR was one of the snowier models. Are you implying a boom is in the cards?
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are we doing an observation thread, or will this be it?
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Probably redundant (and if so mods may delete this) but the 22z HRRR is a significant shift north, and it is still snowing at the runs end. Likely would amount to 2-2.5" in DC.
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18z Euro is relatively unchanged DC and points north, but totals are slightly less DC south
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i would post both, but unfortunately I don't have infinite attachment space.
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it's still moderately snowing at the end of the run, but it's slightly better (in terms of totals) than 18z's full run.
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the moon is a secretly a snow god and it's endorsing this storm?
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21z HRRR might be the first run of the HRRR such that the entire storm is within its run. And dare I say the heavier precipitation is more north than 18z.
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more north i believe
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Surprised nobody’s mentioning that DC and points south finally have a chance to reach December climo after several years! Pretty exciting!
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HRRR is a tick better than 12z
