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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. I have the wonderful conclusions of a well seasoned mind based on 50 years of common sense observations. It is saddenly obvious that increasing numbers of our society are delusionally captive to nonsense from people who are loons.
  2. You are obviously a neophyte. Since you profess to be an expert, challenge the ECMWF . What are your QP predictions for the next 15 days??? I don't want a bunch of crap. I want detailed QP for the entire region for the next 15 days! Come on , give it to me. You can't' , so chill out. Ideally, reasonable people express reasonable ideas on this site. Unreasonable crap needs to die. More and more supporters are getting disillusioned.
  3. The latest from the Euro for the next 15 days does not look good:
  4. Believe me that is a concern but last week was a good first step to climb out of that hole. 2" down and 8" excess to go for euphoria!
  5. The GFS has developed the same bad trait as the Euro, but of course, what do we expect beyond 300 hrs..
  6. A secondary thrust of very cold air will result in highs only in the upper 30's Tuesday and Wednesday for areas west of the BR.
  7. I received 2.10 inches of rain last Tuesday. This is wonderful but a fraction of what we need to bust the drought. 2 inches of rain cannot wipe out 10 - 15 inch deficits............................ Only a wet winter can solve our serious problems.
  8. After a wonderful rain yesterday, the drought goon returns for the next 15 days.
  9. 2.07" at my place, several stations in Charlottesville reported 4.0 - 4.5 inches!!
  10. Very cold like 76-77 tends to be dry because southward suppression thrives in that pattern.
  11. Sounds like 1957................................. Wow, that was 66 years ago!
  12. 1.25"........................... Most since July....................................
  13. Yes, and that can be dangerous to those looking forward to a Nino wet winter. Which only happens 43% of the time in my locale.
  14. The latest CANSIPS paints that perfectly for December.
  15. A little while ago I said that I would look at driest Nino winters since 1980 and snowfall for the Valley. The driest was 87-88 with 64% of normal precipitation (12.20"). I received 18 inches of snow which is 75% of normal snowfall for that winter.
  16. As I said Sunday morning, a few changes would give many in our region 4 - 8 inches of snow tomorrow. The NWS establishes a base of support with a WWA with the retreating cold air source and LP into the Ohio Valley. A terrible early season synoptic that chirps. https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=4 Miles SSE Churchville VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1779&lon=-79.1425
  17. Only a few changes would give us snow on Tuesday. Place that New Hampshire high over Superior. Track the Arkansas low to southeasterrn N.C. instead of southern Ohio. Presto, 4-8 inches of snow.
  18. I received 4 inches on Thanksgiving eve in 1989.
  19. I think your right..................... I'll take it no matter where it came from!!!! Of course, I'll believe it when its in the gauge.
  20. Last Wednesday at 5:41 pm I said in this thread that I sensed the atmosphere was beginning to feel El Nino and moisture influx into our area would improve over the next 5 - 15 days. The latest CPC thoughts give Virginia especially southwest of D.C. 2 inches of rain Tuesday/Wednesday. The latest 18z deterministic GFS gives my area through D.C. 2 - 3 inches during this time-frame. Was my call 3 days ago blind luck or divine intervention??
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