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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. My lifelong fascination with the weather and 60 years of observations tell me that Jan. 15 - Mar. 15 will produce. This winter is removed from recent crap. Just please be patient and give it a chance.
  2. GFS just can't jel with the front on Monday. Tomorrow will be better.
  3. At 5.9 % I can enjoy with a little buzz. 11.7% would put me on a psychedelic spin.
  4. I am sipping on a Natural Ice right now. Whats your pleasure?
  5. Next Wed Morning at +6 will be a little more in tune.
  6. A WWA has been issued for western areas: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=3 Miles WNW Dooms VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1291&lon=-78.9004
  7. 12z 1-16, Euro gives the Central Valley .50" of new ice with a surface temp. of 24 degrees. Welcome to the skating rink!! 850 temps have dropped from +4 to - 9 in 6 hrs! Temps. fall all day to 12 by 7 pm.
  8. Oragraphic lift will create some very heavy downpours on the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge. Would expect some 4 - 6 inch totals.
  9. The signal is clearly there on the GEFS. The op ECM is there, the GFS and GEM ops. are sniffing.
  10. No snow here today but about about .80 freezing rain. The rain makes me happy!
  11. That sounds like home style cookin!! Gets me up for a steak in about an hour.
  12. The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.
  13. Hello out west! I'm well aware of what you say. The HRRR brings the 850 freezing line to the west city limits of Staunton at 11 am, backs it up to Todd Lake at noon then Reddish Knob at 1 pm. Good luck! I'm reporting obs. 33.1 degrees w/ Lt.rain
  14. The Euro is out to lunch. 00z gave me 4.4 inches, the 06z gives me 2.5". 7:32 and I have 32.7 with light rain.
  15. 33 and dropping like a rock in Augusta County.
  16. The cold HP has dived southeast and offshore of Virginia, setting up this southerly flow. That would have killed our chances in 1964 or 2024.
  17. We used to be a snow town but Spruce and Snowshoe have gotten greedy in recent years since the Atlantic has divorced us.
  18. I'm much warmer down here in Augusta at 40.
  19. Increasing threat of freezing rain adding another element to this system for west of the BR in the Central Valley. 2 inches of snow/sleet with up to .50" freezing rain.
  20. I hope you're right!! But it will take another 8 inches of rain. (soaking steady rain)
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