My lifelong fascination with the weather and 60 years of observations tell me that Jan. 15 - Mar. 15 will produce. This winter is removed from recent crap. Just please be patient and give it a chance.
A WWA has been issued for western areas: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VAZ025&warncounty=VAC015&firewxzone=VAZ025&local_place1=3 Miles WNW Dooms VA&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=38.1291&lon=-78.9004
12z 1-16, Euro gives the Central Valley .50" of new ice with a surface temp. of 24 degrees. Welcome to the skating rink!! 850 temps have dropped from +4 to - 9 in 6 hrs! Temps. fall all day to 12 by 7 pm.
The same can be said of the GFS, Euro, GEM. None of the models predicted how much we would warm overnight upstairs after the HP moved offshore. Especially western areas. This threw everybody and everything including the NWS for a loop.
Hello out west! I'm well aware of what you say. The HRRR brings the 850 freezing line to the west city limits of Staunton at 11 am, backs it up to Todd Lake at noon then Reddish Knob at 1 pm.
Good luck!
I'm reporting obs. 33.1 degrees w/ Lt.rain
Increasing threat of freezing rain adding another element to this system for west of the BR in the Central Valley. 2 inches of snow/sleet with up to .50" freezing rain.