stormy
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Everything posted by stormy
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2013 - 14 was -.04 , 2012-13 was - .04. I received 29" in 13 and 41" in 14. That is close to what the coming winter will be................. Thoughts
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I NEVER care to nitpick. I only pray that the models evolve to a December 1962 or 2009 pattern. I highly doubt this but a La Nada pattern gives me 20 inches compared to 10 inches...............
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I understand that the chart is only a snapshot in time, but folks new to this hobby need to understand that we usually do better with a trough axis to our west (Ohio Valley). Case in point, the 18z GFS drops a 2 - 5 inch swath of snow across Virginia on Dec. 9 with a weak trough axis back over the western Ohio Valley. Thanks Cape
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I'd rather see that trough axis over Louisville instead of Philadelphia.
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Yeah, the 06z A1 does look interesting! I hadn't looked at it today. A little beef up in stead of back down. Surface is marginal in mid 30's but 850's look good at minus 4! When will the 12z be available?
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It was interesting until I looked. 12z even slashes the western mountains...................
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The GFS and GEM are both backing off. Euro will be interesting.
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Happy Snowfall to all the DC Snowgeese!!!. I had 1/4 inch in a squall yesterday evening. Today is very unusual for 11/22 and is a perfect illustration that under the right atmospherics in 1965, 1985, 2005 or 2025............................. It is going to snow on the D.C. region on Nov . 22. This is not supposed to be possible on Nov. 22! ............................ Keep hoping for the right atmospherics which will always deliver for you............................
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That digging bundle of energy over Indiana/Illinois will enhance snowfall for upslope regions on Friday.
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You will generally witness a 4 degree drop per 1000 ft. elevation. My snowfall observation through the past 40 years says 3 inches per 1000 ft.. I have a lot of experience comparing 1800 ft. to 2800 ft .
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According to the GFS/ECMWF, your backyard at 2500 ft. will probably get a foot. At Snowshoe, the elevation will likely create whiteout conditions with wind, fog and blinding snow.
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My heart goes out to you!! We had serious drought in Augusta earlier but recent rains have helped.
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26 this 7 am. GFS , 11.3 inches of snow in Staunton on 12/3....... Really??
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Nice weather thru Monday.......................... The rest of the week should be wild with a combination of heavy mountain snow showers, lowland showers and windy conditions.
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As I posted a few weeks ago. All weak Nina's have produced below normal snow for my area back to 1950 except 1964 - 65 which was .50" above normal with 24.50".
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Up to .51" rain since 9:30 at 2:15.
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The CPC drops from 71% in September to 57% now regarding a La Nina dominated winter.
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.36" rain since 9:30.
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After a very cold low of 21.8 this morning....................... A high of 48....................................... Close to an inch of rain in the offing thru Friday. Maybe 2 inches of snow in northern Highland above 3500 ft.
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Really! My Goodness............................
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Snow in Highland County Thursday night? The NAM says yes.
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18z NAM increases my qp from .67 to .84" Thursday night. D.C. drops from .67 to .56" Up to an inch of snow 30 miles to my west in Highland.
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Wow!! What a difference a day makes for qp potential from noon Thursday - 9 am Friday. My 3 model blend has increased from .26" at 2 pm yesterday to .95" 2 pm today. ECM 1.24", GEM 1.07", GFS .53"................. I'll take it after .10" in the past 40 days.
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Its close to a hurricane on the 19th then snow for western areas by the 21st!!!!!!!!!
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Jan 3, 2022- 8 inches of snow and drifting. Jan 7, 2022 - 3 inches snow. Jan. 17, 2022 - 8.5 inches snow. Jan. 28 - 1.3" snow Feb. 13 - 2.0" snow March 12 - 3.0" snow 21-22 gave me above normal snowfall !! How about this, guys?
