PhiEaglesfan712

After that, do you think the winter returns, or are we going to torch in January and February, like in 2016-17 and 2022-23?

2000-01 may have finished with average snowfall, but the way the season ended, with that epic snow bust in March, made that season feel like a disappointment.

SON 2025 ONI: -0.55 SON 2025 RONI: -0.85 November 2025 PDO: -1.67

I assume you mean 2023, instead of 2019.

In this warmer climate, it's very hard to get colder than normal months anymore. So when December 2022 went by with very little/no snow, I knew that winter was in trouble. Cold and very little/no snow December is the worst combination in this warming climate. I'd much have a torch December, like December 2015/2021/2023 because I know that there's at least a chance for it to regress to the mean (unless you have a really bad setup like 2001-02 or 2011-12).

-ENSO and deep -IOD usually favor a cool December, in comparison to the rest of the season. That was the case in 2016-17 and 2022-23. It's January and February when it really torches. If December ends with <1 inch of snow, then the winter is in trouble. That's what happened at PHL, BWI, and DCA those winters. PHL got lucky with the March 2017 snowstorm, but the snow totals for those seasons are as follows: PHL: 0.3 inches 2022-23 BWI: 3.0 inches 2016-17, 0.2 inches 2022-23 DCA: 3.4 inches 2016-17, 0.4 inches 2022-23

We need to take advantage of this. If we come out of this with very little to no snow, the winter will be in trouble. It would be like 2022-23 all over again.

We did get a good 3-week window of cold and snow between December 23 and January 15 in 1998-99. The rest of that winter (first 3 weeks of December and the 2nd half of January/February) was a torch, though.

The best example is 89-90. We had the coldest December on record, then the weather turned springlike when the calender flipped to January.

That's the type of polar vortex you want for colder and snowy weather. A stronger than average polar vortex tends to favor torch conditions.

How much do you think for EWR?

Sorry, the Arena Football League is defunct. However, the Phillies season begins on Thursday, March 26, 2026.

I don't understand why you would abandon the run up 21-0, with a running back as great as Barkley, unless he is truly hurt.

I'm not sure exactly what is causing the warmer WPAC ocean temps. All I know is that something must have happened in between the 2009-10 strong el nino and the 2015-16 super el nino.

How much snow for EWR on Tuesday?

No, I wasn't one who thought Sirianni needed to go after 2-2 last year. Heck, I didn't even lose faith after the Giants game earlier this year. I'd much rather have the losses to Bucs last year and the Giants game earlier this year. At least I can understand that we didn't have it that day. Crap like that happens sometimes. But after this loss to the Cowboys, I've completely lost faith in this team. (The last time I lost total faith in the Eagles was the loss to the Seahawks on that Monday Night in 2023, and I couldn't have been more correct.) You can't lose a game up 21-0, especially when you have a running back as great as Saquon Barkley. The Eagles never blew a 21-0 lead before, not even during the great collapse of 2023. I thought holding onto a 21-0 lead was not asking too much, but if they can't do that, then I need to lower my expectations for this team. The Eagles might beat the Raiders and split with the Commanders to get to 10 wins (and that may still be enough to win the NFC East), but this team isn't going anywhere in the playoffs. In short, this Eagles team is soft and undisciplined. Don't expect that to magically change on Friday. The Bears are a tougher team, and will beat us.

Now that drought guy is doubting it, I'm optimistic about this storm happening.

December 2010 is the only one that's reasonable. At least that happened in the newer climate. (It's not a good analog, but due to other things... like near solar min and strong la nina, features we don't have this year. Maybe it could work if we have a strong la nina in place in December 2028, when we're closer to a solar min.) December 1983 is an older, colder climate. Not likely to happen unless we have a Pinatubo event. (83-84 actually would have been a very good analog for 95-96.) December 1989, well, that was a once-in-a-lifetime event. A coldest December on record, followed by an early turn to spring (and never looking back) is almost certainly never going to happen again.

Funny, that year behaved the opposite of a nino (due to Pinatubo). Normally, you'd get the cool summer in the East preceding the el nino and the warm summer in the East following the el nino. Instead, the summer of 91 was a record warm summer in the East, and the summer of 92 was the cold summer in the East. Of course, Pinatubo resulted in a temporary cooling, which led the snowier winters of 92-93, 93-94, and maybe even 95-96.

I hate to say it, but I feel the Eagles are on the verge of a 2023-type collapse. This team is way too soft to even hold on to a 21-0 lead. The offense is broken, and the defense can only hold up for so long. (In fact, I can see the defense starting to crack.) The Eagles are going to lose on Friday, and will probably end with a 9-8 or 10-7 record. That may still be good enough to win the NFC East, but we will likely lose to a team like Seattle in the Wild Card round.

2020-21 is the only winter in NYC that even surpassed the 20-inch mark since 2018-19: 2019-2020 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.3 T T T T 0.0 4.8 2020-2021 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 2.1 26.0 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.6 2021-2022 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T 0.2 15.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.9 2022-2023 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 2023-2024 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 T T 2.3 5.2 T 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 2024-2025 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 3.0 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9

December 2021 was a very warm December in the Eastern US (I think only 2015 was warmer). If we're not going to get any snow in December, then I hope it's a torch. At least it can come back to average at some point in the winter (like January 2022). The worst possible outcome is a cooler December with no snow (like December 2022).

I'd be okay with something like December 2017, when the warm-up was very brief, and the majority of the 2nd half of December is cold. This is certainly possible. I mean, we're overdue for one.

The start year for this has to be 1951 because the November 25, 1950 record is just about impossible to beat out. Atlanta got to 3 degrees that day, and the places where the record low would be got to below 0.

I guess this is another way of saying Go Birds!