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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. that's b/c it's likely to end up as a regular cold front passage with some rain and maybe a few flakes on the backend. The 18z's are less bullish already....
  2. last night took care of anything close to building or other warm spots that was hanging on....down to 22 here last night-mid winter chill
  3. other models just show a few light rain showers....we'll be ahead of the front with SW winds-doubt anyone sees anything frozen
  4. looks like a cold front like last night....very little precip
  5. exactly-we all average anywhere from 0- to maybe an inch of snow for November....anything would be notable given the time of year
  6. I think that was 11/29 or something very late in the month-this is almost 3 weeks earlier making it all the more difficult.
  7. Agree-by the time any decent cold air gets in, the storm is gone.
  8. The 12z GFS is all rain now even up to central New England.
  9. heavy frost here and 31. Figure that will take care of the rest of the leaves....
  10. that's an example of the machines being ahead of humans....had anyone really been watching models they would have seen it was no big deal-but of course we do that here, most of the general public and decision makers do not.
  11. really dumb in the end-the threat was overnight not during the evening. I wonder who advises these town managers/mayors? We went out in shorts last night-it was close to 70 degrees and zero rain.
  12. gut feeling that the winds will deliver tonight with this system....todays gust have been impressive and we're nowhere near the front
  13. some gusty winds here too-at least to 30-35. 68 degrees and cloudy
  14. south winds coming off the stable ocean waters to the east most likely....
  15. it was interesting, that's what my town said-they said it's not a town sponsored event so it's on, but use discretion as needed. (we're all adults, if there was a situation (thunder/lightning heavy rains) where it didn't make sense to go out, we can judge that)
  16. my least favorite time here-we are past peak so it's brown leaves everywhere and mess on the lawn, driveway and storm drains
  17. I was happy our town didn't change anything-screws up weekend plans etc. Agree, it will be mostly rain free especially east of the city. Warm too-it will be comfortable out there lol
  18. looks like a window of dry early evening and especially places east of NYC....main show after midnight with the front.
  19. the general public doesnt look at the specifics-if they looked closely they would see the wind threat is at 1-5AM. New NAM coming in fairly dry for the PM and evening a few scattered showers...LOL
  20. might have to do with it being close to a weekend. Let's say Halloween was Monday-would they push it all the way back to the next weekend? Not many cancellations around here-one or two towns maybe. Most models show not much rain either (eastern sections) so the ones that postpone are going to hear it when it's dry in the evening lol.
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