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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. models are dry at least for the long weekend-no rain til next Wed.
  2. some have not figured out its cold/snowy bias past day 7.
  3. The storm last Friday ended here with a snow squall-it was cool to see...other than that have to go back to Jan 18th where 3 inches fell here.
  4. PAC air has completely dominated the pattern....
  5. unlikely. Every telly is against us and doesn't look to change anytime soon. Snowless and likely sunless coming up
  6. we'll put a dent in that Friday and Saturday. We'll see how hot we can get last 10 days-if that AO goes super positive again we could roast.
  7. the PV strengthening over the pole will seal our fate for any cold/snow
  8. there's not much cold in Europe-they are also having a historically warm winter
  9. it's just that it will feel bitter after the warmth of the last 7 weeks
  10. no leaf buds here-but some daffodils stalks have pushed through a bit.
  11. I remember it well. A 4 inch snowstorm was like a HECS back then. (hell, this year a 1 inch storm would be a HECS) just days of gloom and light rain
  12. this is one difference from the mild winters of 01-02 and 11-12-those came with dry/sunny days for basically weeks on end
  13. great year for VT/NH/ME ski resorts. I'm heading to Okemo in March-hoping the snows continue for another month
  14. BDR here has 10-11 inches which is amazing given the horrid pattern...we got 4 in the Jan storm and some smaller stuff in early December
  15. upton has us near 50 on Thursday....
  16. yep know when to hold em and when to throw them. When models backed off the late Jan pattern change about a week out, that's when I threw in the towel personally.
  17. it's the CFS so take it for what's it worth....(or any model 2 months out)
  18. Borrowed from JB's post this AM-but the CFS for April-here comes winter! -
  19. No cold high to the north is the other issue here
  20. The 80's had some incredible cold shots. Alot of cold with bare ground back then as it was hard to get anything to line up with a storm (+NAO/AO pattern then) We've seen none of that the past 2 years. I did tell my kids the same thing this AM when they asked why it hasn't snowed much...I said, "welcome to my childhood"!
  21. nothing to support a snowstorm-every telly remains unfavorable.
  22. if the seasonal trend is any indicator-those projected temps will warm as we get closer
  23. same ol pattern-any cold shot either doesn't happen or moderates as it gets closer in time. GFS/GEFS terrible with the LR cold bias. Best to stick with Euro/EPS
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