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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. in the end, the MJO will decide a good part of it-if it goes back to the poor phases, lights out....
  2. Euro ensembles warming in the long range for the east-cold looks centered out west...with each passing day it becomes more possible that the 11/15 event will be our biggest event of the winter
  3. That won't really cut it-it might get us a storm, but we need a good strong run through the good phases in order to get a 2-3 week period with multiple threats....
  4. if we end up back at MJO 5 or 6, it's lights out on the rest of the month most likely....need a push into 8-1-2 which we have yet to see this winter for some reason
  5. December was +2.6 and Jan -.1 so a + 2.5 would mean a fairly mild winter overall-outside of the 2 arctic shots.
  6. Blizzard of 1888 redux or bust....that would be awesome if that was our storm
  7. Welcome aboard the SS Titanic. I boarded 3 weeks ago....
  8. amazing-message boards completely dead in the heart of winter. what a clunker....
  9. almost doesnt matter this winter-LR guidance has been complete garbage for the most part.
  10. If it comes at all. The 1st week Feb Warmup was only seen about a week out. Who knows what it will look like come 2/15....modeling has been horrid this winter...
  11. I think we're done through 2/15 or so, the question will be can the MJO get into 8-1-2 for the 2nd half of the month...
  12. the whole winter had something like 5 inches of rain in NYC (Nov-Mar). The spring and summer were hot with the dry ground and lack of snow cover Anywhere
  13. 2012 was a torch from 2/1 on. 80's in March. Day after day of blue skies....
  14. always a wildcard, but historically March gets tough especially with nickel and dime events which need to occur at night etc....
  15. You'll use it eventually. (and be thankful the next 8 inch wet snowstorm!)
  16. I haven't used a snow shovel or snow blower yet (I let the 11/15 event melt) and the others too minimal to bother-the rain washed the 1/20 event away in mere hours...
  17. Even he is running out of ammo at this point....
  18. I joked in November "wouldn't that be something if the 11/15 storm was the biggest of the season"? Not joking anymore...
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