Brian5671

meh...nothing heavy so it's rain or white rain

truly cold winters have been few and far between over the last 20 years ( 03-04, 2nd half of '07, 13-14, 14,15 to name a few cold ones) even 09-10 was not all that cold. We lucked out with a bunch of warm/snowy winters, which has in the last 3 years gone to generally warm/wet so folks are now freaking out. Twitter was the worst thing that could happen to weather since it gave the yearly cold/snowy outlook crew a place to spout their snake oil. No one pays attention to a forecast that shows above normal temps and well below normal snow.....

I was there last week! (Came back Sunday) That might be all the snow I see this year. (the continental divide tends to be the line b/w big snow and not much snow.) Those valleys along I70 never see any sun so the snow sticks around

AO is forecast to go to +4 or even +5. Just not looking likely at all IMO. The hallmark of a bad winter is the "good pattern" is always pushed down the road

you know it's bad when a snow shower is something to get excited about. worst winter ever....

A fair amount of winter forecasts noted that lack of ATL blocking would be an issue

and the warmup's are usually well over model guidance so I'd agree.

Hopefully it's sunny-the overcast 45 degree days are the worst...

record warmth?

11/12 redux is pretty much what we're getting. Zero cold air, not a single telleconnection in our favor, a couple weak cutters, yawn yawn yawn.

wow, you're throwing in the towel? You can tell it's bad. Real bad.

I turned out the lights 2 weeks ago and not looking back, this one is toast....

He's been god-awful the past 3 winters.

Too much to fix in the short to medium term. Let's hope we can get a lucky storm or two. (and also hope the pattern doesn't change around 4/1)

yeah last 2 days have been awful-cloudy and 40...stale used up airmass

Bet it will be tough to change this pattern as well....if so, expect a blowtorch in Feb just like Jan

I think we could see a string of clunkers coming up especially with the long term +NAO tendency right now

The kiss of death for winter elsewhere in North America-Alaskan Cold.

No winter anywhere this year-even parts of Russia have been warm

Just 10 short days away!

umm, there's no cold air in Canada, so despite a trough, there's not much cold to dump into it.

11 at BDR

what's the Iraqi model show?

nothing....he's rambling on about Arctic sea ice. Very little writing from him since he jumped ship on the pattern change a couple of weeks ago.

Bingo.