Brian5671

that's 7 to 10 days away as usual. The calls for colder weather and storms have not come and models verify warmer and drier as it gets closer....

Pac hasn't cooperated in 3 years....doubt it starts now-this pattern doesnt look all that exciting anymore

Starting to feel like last year where the models had a great pattern then right about 1/15 or so, the rug gets pulled out....

This remains the big issue. Most places have less than a quarter inch of precip this month and the trend looks to continue-can argue over cutters and what's a great pattern but without any storms who cares what the pattern looks like.

I'd tend to agree-I feel like we get our best patterns with a -EPO

if there's no cold air behind the front it's not all that tricky. This looks like a garbage airmass...

No cold air though

The weeklies can be iffy-last 2 years they showed a great pattern that never came to fruition. I take them with a grain of salt past week 3

tick tock tick tock we better get something by the end of January....

next 10 days on GFS: Bone dry

Most stations are +4 to +5. Night time lows driving the warmth. Daytime highs are not that far from normal.

that's why you have to be cautious and limit the reading the twittersphere hysteria with calls of 09-10 and other stuff meant to click on their posts.. - people starting to fight on other forums, that's another sign the pattern is going down the tubes....

most of northern Louisiana is under a winter storm warning. LOL-can you say southern storm track?

truly cold air has been scarce since the cold winters of 13-14 and 14-15.

it's quickly falling apart now. We'll be lucky to squeeze in one decent event at this rate

Boring pattern for sure. Winter storm watches in central TX where the storm track is.

I remember a stretch were we once got 3 in one week!

show me where anyone is canceling winter?

Like I said, maybe they are right maybe they are not. It's a discussion about a pattern not the final answer which no one knows. You get all upset when someone posts an opposing point of view-for example your post on the La Nina weakening when it clearly is not. We live at 40N not Caribou Maine. What looked like a longer lasting decent pattern is shrinking....Euro has zero precip here (not even rain for another week) I'm sure we'll get something this month but it may (or may not be) the bigger pattern that delivers multiple storms

it's literally the same routine every winter around here....

people can post all they want that doesn't make them right....

Blocking is too far south so we get dry dry dry. We were due for some dryness...the period b/w Thanksgiving and Xmas was incredibly wet.

SSW is the most over hyped weather event ever

at least with the blocking coming now, maybe this year it won't show up in April