Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Perhaps, but if you look back to 2010-11-the pattern lasted about 6 weeks and that was it-I think we went snowless that March.....We need the next 10 days to deliver....
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nothing to plow it with there-it will be cold for several days-will cripple the area....
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wow torch city in the LR....clown timeframe but 60 would feel tropical
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GFS has little to nothing for Sat night
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problem is the deep cold went into Texas and we're alot warmer than progged a week ago and the SE ridge is flexing
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CT changed the code to 6 feet after the winter of 10-11. It was crazy here with all the insurance claims. I just had our roof done this fall and they went up 8 feet. No more roof raking for me. -
some parts of TX (Waco) have a winter storm warning and a winter storm watch at the same time...amazing cold and snow down there-Dallas will have single digit lows for a couple of nights coming up....
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heard that was run out of JB's basement....
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at some point the pattern will break and we'll get that. Fun times for another week though. Maybe more....
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tons of precip next 10 days
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weaker low....
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I would thing an ice storm would come more from an overrunning event vs a storm coming up the coast....
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2 inches of fluff here
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OBS and nowcast mainly midnight - Noon Thursday Feb 11
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2 inches here -
you want some SE ridge-gives a boundary for storms to run. I always see people get excited for bitter cold-yeah it's extreme weather but like others said-cold/dry/boring
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We had a SE ridge, but not overpowering combined with brutal cold air-storms ran along the boundary every few days & we were on the right side of the boundary. Dec was very warm and then it flipped on a dime very end of month.
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yep, and most do not verify for the coast.....you need a supply of cold coming into the storm otherwise temps rise to freezing and just above fairly quickly-the other thing is that you need light to maybe moderate ZR. Heavier precip has a hard time accreting unless it's 1994 style cold.
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that explained the messier storm strack with it running on the edge of that SE ridge
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I think that backed off-we'll be cold, but the subzero cold is not happening around here-midwest maybe?
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18z NAM looks similar to12z so that may be it for north bumps
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This trended so far north DC barely gets 2 inches now.
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tonights forecasts will adjust at the 4pm update....
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And remember models often rush a pattern change....that'll buy us another week to 10 days. This is working out nicely-wouldn't mind if the pattern broke around 3/10 and we headed into spring.
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Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
yeah the further north one was today, the forecast did better-here it was 1-3 inches and we got about an inch...so low end verification. only snowed for about 2 hrs.
