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09-10 analogy

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  1. 09-10 analogy
    On the bright side, Hyde saved Yennier and the Mountain for the balance of the series.
  2. 09-10 analogy
    I think grod was overthrowing in the first inning
  3. 09-10 analogy
    Santander and Hays have really stepped up this year. For all the hype about Adley and Gunner, the two "leftovers" have been the heart of this offense.
  4. 09-10 analogy
    Very cool! Looks like a younger version of my daughter when she was Timon in the Lion King in eighth grade. She had some real talent and charisma, more than I did when I acted some, but she never really liked acting that much (or dance, either, like her mom), and they've got to be allowed to do their own thing. Here's to many more theatrical triumphs by your daughter!
  5. 09-10 analogy
    Here in up nw ... probably. Kinda sad.
  6. 09-10 analogy
    Lotta lightning off to the N&W. According to Ventusky, there's a bit of a surface low (29.9) reflection NW of Germantown, but I don't really see it on the SPC Mesoanalysis. Anyway, DC is now severe warned: Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Thunderstorm Warning DCC001-MDC031-033-VAC013-059-142230- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0135.230714T2138Z-230714T2230Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 538 PM EDT Fri Jul 14 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... Northern Arlington County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 630 PM EDT. * At 538 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over American Legion Bridge, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Arlington, Rockville, Bethesda, Bowie, Olney, College Park, Greenbelt, Langley Park, Beltsville, Forestville, Falls Church, Largo, Coral Hills, Bladensburg, Pimmit Hills, Mclean, Fedex Field, Fort Totten, Rosslyn and University of Maryland. ETA: Ugh. Showers out ahead of the storm. Don't like that.
  7. 09-10 analogy
    Late Friday night, December 18, 2009. Around 10 or so. With an inch or so on the ground, and a LOT more on the way (little did I know then, given the whole winter, how much that would be), I walked into Glover-Archibald Park in NW DC. Had Tom Waits on my headphones (this was before I-Phones, or at least before I had one.). On a slight ridge 100 or so feet a way, six or seven deer were looking at me. I looked back. We stayed there more or less motionless -- I wasn't that cold and, evidently, neither were the deer -- as the snow fell and began to pick up in intensity. I'm far from the most spiritual guy in the world, but that was a truly Zen moment I'll never forget. I've posted this several times here, and for that I apologize, but really ... it was just a moment of perfect peace in a (sometimes) crazy world. But, hell, there are a bunch of memories wound up in snowstorms: 1983, the first one I got drunk in; 1987, Veterans Day, walking to meet a buddy at a bar downtown while looking at people with faces of pure shock that something like that could be happening at that time of year; 1996, planning our wedding with my girlfriend (that wouldn't happen for some years afterwards) at a bar in Takoma Park; 2010 #2 (digging a snow trench in our yard so big my 6 year old daughter and I could both easily fit in); 2016 (that Saturday afternoon, true blizzard conditions, where visibility in Friendship Heights couldn't have been much more than a couple hundred yards and the snow and wind were like being in a great big snow globe shaken by some Titan out of Greek mythology).
  8. 09-10 analogy
    Pretty gusty outflow coming through now. Maybe 30-35 MPH or so. Could go for a quick drenching and some T&L but the 2"/hour stuff I'll pass on. I have better things to do this afternoon than have a dance with my watervac down in the basement.
  9. 09-10 analogy
    "Voltage": good way to refer to lightning. Can I steal it?
  10. 09-10 analogy
    Nice to know even the best in the business are still wx nerds at the core. I like the juxtaposition of "hurricane operations" with ALL the staff looking out the window at what was probably the definitive "garden-variety" thunderstorm. Thankfully there were no category 5s crawling up the Eastern Seaboard at the time. Actually, thinking about it, that would make an even better picture: Hurricane Iago, still at Cat 4 strength, ravaging the Bay, and all the mets are looking out the window at it rather than at their workstations.
  11. 09-10 analogy
    I'm hearing it up here.
  12. 09-10 analogy
    Happy hunting! And happy belated birthday. A side benefit chasing out there at least for me, is the scenery. Some might say “lack of” but that very starkness appeals to me.
  13. 09-10 analogy
    Run through it, if it's something benign! One of my fondest memories is my 30th birthday, my girlfriend (now my wife) and I went to Death Valley on August 21 (my birthday) when it was 122 in the shade at the Furnace Creek Visitor Center. Many dust devils. I pulled over to the side of the road and ran out into one and danced around. My gf thought I was crazy, which I was and am, but it's one of those things I'll never forget. Tried to get her to do it with me but she wouldn't. After we were married a few years later, I said I would have proposed to her while in the middle of a dust devil in Death Valley but I don't think she bought that.
  14. 09-10 analogy
    Looks to me that cell is slightly turning right and has a notch, if the new and improved LWX radar is anything to go by. Meanwhile, it's lighting up in general to DC's west so I'm hoping I'll at least see a little something.
  15. 09-10 analogy
    FWIW, SPC Mesoanalysis has a glob of supercell composite of 4 right over the I-95 corridor: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# ETA: I guess the link doesn't go to the preferred option. Hmm... cell SW of Warrenton headed right into it.
  16. 09-10 analogy
    I can sweat, too. This is as hot as any day this year so far ... at least for me. Walked to the store to stock up for the holiday, came back carrying two large bags, halfway home, it was like I'd spent the weekend inside Niagara Falls. Should have driven ....
  17. 09-10 analogy
    When did that happen last, in your opinion? I know it's a totally subjective question. Please don't say "never." Offhand, I don't have a clue what the BRN or low-level shear was for the derecho; I know CAPE (j/kg-1) values were something ungodly, like 5500.
  18. 09-10 analogy
    Some decent CG no wind or anything though. Pretty heavy rain ETA: Close one there!
  19. 09-10 analogy
    Distant thunder and the western sky is gun metal color
  20. 09-10 analogy
    Bears repeating ...
  21. 09-10 analogy
    It's like the severe weather expy of Boxing Day. Not as traumatic, maybe, but ...
  22. 09-10 analogy
    The 2012 derecho -- I know, it's annoying that gets brought up every time there's a severe threat, but there's a reason here -- wasn't, IIRC, supposed to be the main event. That was supposed to be the next day. Well, this is the reverse. The main event will be tomorrow for immediate metros, not today as was thought. That's sound meteorological reasoning for you there.
  23. 09-10 analogy
    Trees do fall around here during severe weather and people have been killed. I'd WAG more people have died from straight line winds around here than from tornadoes, for instance. So it's not totally unwarranted to warn people of powerful thunderstorms ... probably has as much to do with how many trees we have (well, in NW DC at least, I'm as parochial as ever) than with the strength of the winds. Is today hype-worthy? Probably not, but we'll see. That question can only be answered in retrospect anyway. Anyway, plenty of sun right now. What I don't want is hail. Last time I went to the local auto body shop, I asked an innocuous question, and the p***k running the joint snapped at me for no discernable reason.
  24. 09-10 analogy
    Moderate rain a hour or so ago, now nothing, but distant rolling thunder when it's cloudy, which for some reason I love. Seems like the goods might be on my doorstep but I'm used to the LWX radar and it's down and I'm not rich like the rest of you folks to be able to afford the fancy stuff. If it was a killer band of snow just off to my north and west with me getting nothing, I'd be tearing my hair out (of course I shave my head so that's kinda irrelevant) but with convection, I can still hear the thunder and like I said, distant thunder with cloudy, humid weather is a nice vibe for me.
  25. 09-10 analogy
    Hard to get robust lapse rates and shear, and timing, all aligned together around here. But we don't get day 4 outlooked by SPC too often around here, either (not that northern parts of the sub are). EDIT: Not that it means anything, but this has been an aberrant June, what with all the tornadoes in the South (when their peak is usually well over by now) and then the tornadoes in Texas the other day. (I read somewhere that Texas hadn't had an (E)F4 after June 10th until this year, with Matador almost certainly being (E)F4 at least.)
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