Jump to content

09-10 analogy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,225

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 09-10 analogy

  1. 09-10 analogy
    They lose two to the Cards and lose the first two to the Rays, and everyone is getting a bit edgy. Maybe the O's are going the way of the 2011 Red Sox? Reverting to their Pythagorean? But then G-Rod plays ace, the O's take the next two from the Rays, clinch the playoffs, take two semi-slugfests from an Astros team that's still very good. Their record against teams over .500 (a more viable stat than some Fangraphs over-engineered "power rating") is the best in the league and behind only (of course) Atlanta. (What a beast that team is.) If they win the division, the O's have home field through the playoffs. What a season. They need to hold the division though. Otherwise, they're a 4 seed, even though Baltimore would still likely have the second-best record in the league. (Something wrong there.) They do have the tiebreaker against TB, and the O's seem to have the easier balance-of-the-schedule: Cleveland, the Nats, Boston. TB plays mostly Toronto and Boston. It'd be real nice to get Bautista back, too, although the O's have gone 14-8 in his absence. It just seems proper that the Orioles and Rays play for the Series slot. Two small markets, just about game they've played this year has been exciting. I'm so sick of hearing about the "legendary" Yankees-Red Sox rivalry. That's yesterday's news. Baltimore-TB: that's where the action is now. I wonder how the Yuckees and Red Sux like being 19 and 20 games out?
  2. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah I got that impression too: that there was a lot of wind energy off the surface. The sound of the wind - very loud — didn’t seemed to correspond to the swaying of the trees, which is what I made my guesstimate of 40+ from. From how loud the wind sounded it seemed like there would have been more action at the surface. Branches down, that kind of thing. Of course this could be — and probably is — all my imagination, without any validity at all.
  3. 09-10 analogy
    Potent storm rolling through right now. Couple close CG strikes, winds over 40. I'd say it's the second or third most rambunctious storm of the season.
  4. 09-10 analogy
    I remember reading or hearing somewhere that fish tanks are a thing partly because people look at them and feel more relaxed. Well, that’s my reaction to these videos. Watch them and chill. The crickets at the beginning are a nice touch.
  5. 09-10 analogy
    The growling is getting louder and more frequent, and I don't have to be looking in the direction of the storms to see the flashes now. This is actually kinda neat, if it turns out to be any type of storm at all. Kind of like hearing the Ennio Morricone score before a Metallica concert.
  6. 09-10 analogy
    Coupla decent-looking cells commuting into DC along 395; if I put on my severe wx weenie googles the northernmost looks like it's got a tiny little notch. EDIT: Naah, it really doesn't. But there is distant thunder and the occasional flash off to the SW.
  7. 09-10 analogy
    Outflowing thru the neighborhood now. Just like yesterday: big cells off to the N and W (actually they were close to MNOTW yesterday). What field (if any) on the SPC Hourly Meso Analysis would be best to approximate the location of outflow boundaries? Or is that just eyeballing radar? (And I don't have GR3 or whatever it's called; I just rely on LWX or some other free sites. Now if I lived in Huntsville ...)
  8. 09-10 analogy
    Thunder and darkening skies to the west from those cells erupting in N Arlington and across the river in MoCo. Question is, for my immediate, is whether there's anything to impart (or propagate) a little more easterly direction to these cells; if they do the SW-NE dance most of them have today, I think I'll just get grazed in upper NW.
  9. 09-10 analogy
    Purely from reading the discussions, it seems the progged shear today is a bit more than may have been anticipated earlier in the week? I'm sure there's a way to research that but I'm too lazy. We certainly have the juice available ...
  10. 09-10 analogy
    After reading Terpeat’s wonderful, albeit depressing, post, all the more reason to up the investigation into retirement property around Ithaca, New York
  11. 09-10 analogy
    Maybe this dreadful heat this week will come with something of a payoff down the road. From the Sterling AFD: Thursday and Friday should bring a gradual shift in the pattern. As noted in global ensembles, the culprit is a longwave trough pushing through the Great Lakes. A lot of details need to be resolved before more accurately portraying any convective threats. However, coming off a lengthy period of hot and humid weather often yields an unsettled pattern given notable forcing mechanisms. For now, will keep shower and thunderstorm chances to close out the work week. While conditions remain on the hot side, temperatures do fall by around 4 to 8 degrees compared to earlier in the week. &&
  12. 09-10 analogy
    Then there's the Superstorm of 1993, which "came ashore" somewhere around there. Several people died in the associated storm surge, I guess you would call it.
  13. 09-10 analogy
    Gusty shower coming through, to cool things off. Pretty heavy rain and winds I'd say 35+.
  14. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah, today is one of the most uncomfortable days of this summer. Maybe it's because it's been so pleasant lately and my body is in autumn mode. Of course, recently autumns around here have brought whatever heat the summer left at the bus stop.
  15. 09-10 analogy
    Back from dropping my daughter off at uni, which is always kind of depressing. Some good storms to track and experience would help immensely with that.
  16. 09-10 analogy
    San Diego may finally get some interesting weather for the first time in decades.
  17. 09-10 analogy
    I'm going there as soon as possible. Your photos have convinced me!
  18. 09-10 analogy
    Our luck ran out. Just as we were going out the door of the hotel, we read the concert was cancelled due to Springsteen having some kind of health issue. Rumor is he's got the newest Covid variant. They'll honor the tickets later when he gets better and can reschedule but whether our daughter will be able to make it, being back at uni ... who knows? So we're out the gas and tolls, and the hotel room, since we turned around and drove home last night. I would have stayed to luxuriate -- or what I consider to be luxuriating -- in the hotel, but I was outvoted by my wife and daughter, both of whom were adamant about coming home. What a day: the original hotel we'd booked -- a Hampton Inn near the airport -- was a smelly dump, so we changed hotels (at least we got the money back for the first one). Checked into the new, much nicer place, and then found out about the cancellation. Disappointed, but at least we didn't fly into Philly to see him like some couple from Europe we were talking to at a restaurant near Citizens Bank Park.
  19. 09-10 analogy
    I remember getting one on my phone when the small tornado went through N Arlington/Foggy Bottom a while back. It woke me up
  20. 09-10 analogy
    Best thing about today's storm is I got to hear the EAS beeps on WTOP as I was driving home.
  21. 09-10 analogy
    I don't think there were winds anything like that in upper NW but I was inside when the storm hit so didn't see the initial gust. But as (the lack of) a telltale sign, very little tree debris/leaves down -- much less branches -- on the way home thru my neighborhood. Torrential rain though. That's at least the second time recently DCA has met/exceeded severe wind criteria. Pretty sure they did at least on 7.29; maybe some other date as well?
  22. 09-10 analogy
    We're really lucking out on Wednesday night, when the three of us are going to see Springsteen in Philly as kind a send-away to our daughter (and as a birthday present to me) before she goes back to uni week after next. Never been to a big concert with her. Hope she likes it; she wants to go and I'm not the Bruce fan I was when I was younger. Mostly clear temps falling through the 70s. Thank goodness we're (and he and his band, all of whom are ... seasoned performers, shall we say) not dealing with heat advisories and EHWs like they are in the NW and SE.
  23. 09-10 analogy
    So to recap (for LWX region): July 28: Corridor of significant wind damage from Frederick to Baltimore County, with a secondary cluster around the northern and eastern suburbs of DC; scattered hail and wind damage reports in NVA. (82 reports total) https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/?date=20230728&hoursBefore&all July 29: Corridor of significant/major wind damage from NVA and southern MOCO through DC; scattered reports elsewhere (141 reports total; 749 nationwide) https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/?&all&date=20230729 August 7: Corridor of major/extreme wind damage and hail reports along and south of Mason/Dixon line (tornado reports pending?); numerous wind (and some hail) reports in eastern WVA, northern VA, and central MD; scattered reports in DC (203 reports total; 1389 nationwide) https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/?&all&date=20230807 (Links go to CONUS map; I drilled down to just Sterling CWA; I don't know how to make the link focus on just our area) That about right?
  24. 09-10 analogy
    Thing is, the O's were becoming a national, feel-good story: a team that had been so bad was now so good, put together right, with a bunch of young, enthusiastic guys. Beating soundly all the big-payroll teams. And then this ass mini-Angelos comes along and kiboshes the PBP guy for merely stating fact. That's a horrible look: not only being a real jerk, but a dummy, since much of the goodwill being directed at the O's by the baseball-following public will dissolve as a result of this petty behavior. Brittany Ghiroli, an excellent reporter who used to be on the O's beat before she went nationwide and who doubtlessly still has sources in the O's organization, went on a diatribe against Angelos jr. this morning, saying this is part of a pattern of ridiculous behavior for John Angelos and that it doesn't surprise her at all. She's never struck me as someone who says things just to stir up controversy; her reporting is usually measured and nuanced. https://www.audacy.com/podcast/the-big-bad-morning-show-10d9e/episodes/the-athletics-britt-ghiroli-shares-why-the-kevin-brown-situation-is-par-for-the-course-for-the-orioles-franchise-ab6c5
  25. 09-10 analogy
    SMH. The only thing the O's need right now is new ownership.
×
×
  • Create New...