09-10 analogy

Real localized disappointment in upper NW. Rain, not much wind, thunder and lightning on the periphery. Last evening it looked like the N Bethesda storm could get us here as well but the core of it stayed NW. Then another cell shortly afterwards seemed to be riding the NW boundary between DC and MD on radar, aimed squarely at MBY, but it seemed as if it just pulsed out right overhead. These things are really hit and miss usually, but that's nothing new. Maybe better luck today.

There must have been some cannonading going by somewhere close a few hours ago, but only flickers and some low rolls in Tenleytown. But like another poster noted, it's still nice to be woken up by a thunderstorm, even if you're being fringed, in the middle of the night. Curious thing is, I slept right through a big storm we had earlier this year, maybe in April.

This is possibly the worst outbreak for SC since 1984?

Miss north. A few bursts of rain, distant thunder, but more or less noneventful in up nw. Probably less impact from this system in Tenleytown than from anywhere in a crescent from E TX to NJ.

SPC Meso still shows a pocket of 1000-1500 SBCAPE south and west of DC. Maybe something for the second or third line to work with?

Mostly overcast in upper NW. Maybe that little eruption about to cross the Potomac and ride the DC/MONTCO border will make things exciting around here. EDIT: And just like that, a downpour starts.

Don't normally see too many PDS TOR soundings around here. EDIT: Just for the doing of it, looked up some parameters just prior to La Plata: 0-1 km SRH: 253 m2 s-2 0-3 km SRH: 243 m2 s-2 0-1 km bulk shear: 32 kt 0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt Taken from: http://www.tornadohead.com/storhodos.htm

I'm just south of all that and I slept right through it. That's rare; I'm a light sleeper. There are some trees down in AU Park so it must have been pretty rambunctious IMBY.

Quite the squall coming through. Don't think it's as potent as it is up MOCO way however.

That's probably the January 2005 snowstorm. One of the great screwjobs in DC history. Probably a Miller B deal: NYC and Philly both got a foot, NE/Boston got a historic monster, Baltimore may have eked out a few inches. DC got squat; textbook middle finger event around here. I'll take the 99-00 analog. Great last part of January.. Just looked up the 2004-5 season. DCA got 12.5". There have been much worse. But that doesn't begin to alleviate the pain of the kind of shafting Jan 21-22 2005 delivered. 99-00 delivered 15.4, not much more than 04-05, but it included the Big Honking Surprise of Jan 25, which to me boosts my estimation of that winter higher than the seasonal total would warrant.

So, 16 days of Dorian. Sure seems like it was a lot longer.

I gotta say, the journalistic philosophy of Bahamas Press, at least from its social media content, seems to have a distinctly yellow tint to it. Most assuredly places like Abaco have been brutalized and there are fatalities, maybe a good number. And maybe the Bahamanian authorities' response is not ideal. Not surprising there, as this is a nationwide catastrophe that no amount of planning, I would think, could prepare for. But BP with its ALL CAPS AND EXCLAMATION POINTS! rhetorical style reminds me of some of the less savory approaches used by other media outlets whose claims of objectivity sour with their ready recourse to unsupported accusations of deliberate negligence. Of course the press should hold the authorities accountable. But darkly assuming the PM is deliberately lying about fatalities, when parts of the Bahamas are still getting pounded by Dorain, may or may not be irresponsible, but certainly isn't helpful. At least now. And if they do take that tack, which is certainly within the right of a free media (which I assume the Bahamas has), then maybe the organization shouldn't present itself as strictly reportage, which to me it seems to do. I know this is OT even for the banter board, so if it's deleted, that's OK. As someone in media, I just wanted to get my impression out there, see how others are reacting to BP.

It's still snowing. Amazing. Light, but it's still falling. Long duration indeed.

11" as the final tally. That'll do, pig. ("Babe" movie reference)

Baltimore folks will get theirs soon. After all, aren't all of BWI's (or Baltimore's) top 10 at or above 20"? (OK, number 10 is the second Feb 10 storm, at 19.5"). Can't say that about PHL or CPK, I don't think. I'd love to live there again. But job/family, etc ...

10.75". Cleared that bar easily. Don't think I'll get to a foot though. But who knows? This storm just would not quit. Gorgeous out there tonight. DCA's total is astonishing. The government shutdown must have furloughed the usual monitors and Jessie Pinkman took over. Or Snookiecoma.

I haven't seen anything like a 15" report from Montgomery County or anywhere else for that matter. Is there a Montgomery County in Missouri?

9" in upper NW. I'm sure there's been some compaction, so more than that has probably fallen. Doesn't really matter; it's a dynamite storm. Just walked over to Whole Foods. Moderate to occasionally heavy snow there and back. DC and environs are rolling all 6's with this one.

Seems to be picking back up. We're gonna close strong I think.

Got my 8", maybe a bit more. Do I hear 10"?

Yeah, this may be the heaviest yet here in Tenleytown as well. Maybe we're under the same band. It feels good to be in the jackpot zone for a change. Even the biggest and best ones ... 2016, 2010, 1996 ... north and west got more. Which, of course, is totally to be expected. But I feel inside the Beltway is keeping pace with just about everyone with this one.

Just so long as Mr. Blonde doesn't show up.

Lightening up a bit now, but it was pounding just a few minutes ago. At 7" now, maybe a wee bit more. Leffe break, then another walk. It is kind of bittersweet for me, though; this is the first snow since she was old enough to go sledding that my daughter didn't want to.

This is getting perilously close to SN+.

Generously endowed flakes coming down quite heavily in up nw. When this band came in, some IP was mixing in, but back to all snow now and the heaviest I've seen today. Might get that magic 8" after all.