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09-10 analogy

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  1. Audrey in 1957 does seem to be a pretty good match. Its landfall was right around where Laura's is forecast: Sabine River/Cameron LA area. According to Wiki, Audrey had a 12 foot storm surge that went 25 miles inland. Strong cat 3. (I think it was downgraded from a 4 during reanalysis years after it occurred.) Devastating loss of life with it. Cameron was destroyed by Audrey, and then by Rita and Ike in the 2000s. I don't think too many people live there anymore. As Moore OK is to tornadoes, Cameron seems to be to hurricanes.
  2. Laura will save the day. Remnants will track along the Mason Dixon line and the DMV will get about 70 EFOs and EF1s out of it over the weekend.
  3. Concur, I just thought it was a funny line.
  4. “Bang on a trash can lid and (Houston) will get the message.” wish I could take credit for that but I saw it on Twitter
  5. Pretty active T&L show just off to the NW. Barrage is slowly creeping in. Bethesda/Potomac area must be getting pummeled.
  6. This has brought the house down (figuratively) in a way that only happens a couple times a year usually.. Not only the close in strikes, which are always juiced by the transmission towers around here, but also the continual background roar of the thunder. I guess the big close in strikes are the melody and the continuous rumble in the distance is the harmony. But I’m not musical so that metaphor probably sucks. It’s a keeper regardless.
  7. This might be as good a T&L show as I’ve had all summer and that includes the overnight cannonade from a couple weeks back. May not last as long but we’ll see.
  8. Yep this could repeat all the rest of the summer and I’d be as happy as a dog who,d just dug up a bone he buried months before. Good way to forget about COVID.
  9. Seems like one built right on top of me. Quite the T&L action in upper NW currently. Substantially better than yesterday but with less wind. Third day in a row with a good storm, each one with different strengths.
  10. Decent wind in the 40-45 range, a real downpour but the T&L at least in upper NW was better last evening. At least so far; sometimes these storm are backloaded. Pretty ominous look to it as it was coming in. Sky had a slight green tint to it in places but fortunately no hail at least in MBY. Edit: well now we’re getting some closer-in strokes.
  11. Just went for a walk; it’s like being in an amphitheater and all the spectators are thunderstorms. Lightning flashes all around and the thunder is a continuous growl with a few yelps.
  12. HIs of 100 even 105 I’ve grown to be able to handle. Most summers we get a few of those. 110 is too much.
  13. Some decent rain but last night was all about the T&L. Quite a show.
  14. Got in on one for a change. Small hail, torrential if brief rain, outflow gusts probably over 50. Sky was semi bright the whole time. Probably a nice rainbow somewhere.
  15. Real localized disappointment in upper NW. Rain, not much wind, thunder and lightning on the periphery. Last evening it looked like the N Bethesda storm could get us here as well but the core of it stayed NW. Then another cell shortly afterwards seemed to be riding the NW boundary between DC and MD on radar, aimed squarely at MBY, but it seemed as if it just pulsed out right overhead. These things are really hit and miss usually, but that's nothing new. Maybe better luck today.
  16. There must have been some cannonading going by somewhere close a few hours ago, but only flickers and some low rolls in Tenleytown. But like another poster noted, it's still nice to be woken up by a thunderstorm, even if you're being fringed, in the middle of the night. Curious thing is, I slept right through a big storm we had earlier this year, maybe in April.
  17. This is possibly the worst outbreak for SC since 1984?
  18. Miss north. A few bursts of rain, distant thunder, but more or less noneventful in up nw. Probably less impact from this system in Tenleytown than from anywhere in a crescent from E TX to NJ.
  19. SPC Meso still shows a pocket of 1000-1500 SBCAPE south and west of DC. Maybe something for the second or third line to work with?
  20. Mostly overcast in upper NW. Maybe that little eruption about to cross the Potomac and ride the DC/MONTCO border will make things exciting around here. EDIT: And just like that, a downpour starts.
  21. Don't normally see too many PDS TOR soundings around here. EDIT: Just for the doing of it, looked up some parameters just prior to La Plata: 0-1 km SRH: 253 m2 s-2 0-3 km SRH: 243 m2 s-2 0-1 km bulk shear: 32 kt 0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt Taken from: http://www.tornadohead.com/storhodos.htm
  22. I'm just south of all that and I slept right through it. That's rare; I'm a light sleeper. There are some trees down in AU Park so it must have been pretty rambunctious IMBY.
  23. Quite the squall coming through. Don't think it's as potent as it is up MOCO way however.
  24. Will never forget the smell of gasoline fumes from all the cars stuck in traffic when I walked down the major arterials. Plus a good bit of thundersnow with that one
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