09-10 analogy

Shoveling was, unexpectedly, not bad. I shoveled Sunday but then the ice/sleet accreted, so I dreaded having to hack away at that once I removed the new layer of snow. But it came up easily enough and in places where it didn't, like on the brick entrance to the house, I just whacked at it a time or two with the shovel and it loosened up. I rather like shoveling soft snow -- though I'm not as much of a fan of it than Jeb -- but shoveling ice, like walking on it, is a pain. I guess being above freezing always helps Probably should have shoveled yesterday to be a Good Citizen and all that, but I was pissed about the storm. Remarkable how, starting late yesterday, my opinion on this turned around. This really was a unique event, even though it never got above what I consider low-to-moderate intensity here. But it's hard to find much fault with a 54-hour or so duration event. Absolutely beautiful walking around as it got light this morning. And it looks like there's a little more incoming?

Just measured about 2.5" on the deck before I hit ice. I measured a bit over 2.5" late Sunday, so I'm at least 5" for the whole event and maybe more depending on the great Compaction spirit. Side roads around here are mostly snow covered.

Yeah I’ve had to change my assessment of this one. The sheer persistence of this thing is remarkable. 48 hours of mostly frozen precipitation. And this band is great. Even getting a little wind. I think part of it is my tendinitis in both shoulders is bothering me from not being able to go to the gym, so I’m cranky.

Just woke up to work, couldn't sleep, and see that it's snowing a little again. I guess I'll have to pull up the radar ..

Largest flakes I’ve seen so far. Not heavy but pretty under the streetlights. And I can just tell by looking that I wouldn’t want any part of vehicular travel tonight.

It’s OK here in Tenleytown but rippage it ain’t.

Steady SN now

I can actually look out the window now and lose count of the number of flakes falling. That’s a first for today and is really stretching the definition of “looking on the bright side.”

I guess 1-3” rates per 36 hours doesn’t rate an MD.

Some flakes mixing in occasionally in up nw

Moderate sleet in up nw

Light to mod snow with a pinger or two mixed in.

Mine is turning 17 in March. I still remember the first event in Dec 2009, when we got about three inches early in the month, and I have a film of my daughter and her friend catching snowflakes on their tongues. And then after the second storm in February, digging out a snowfort so that all three of us (my wife, not my daughter's friend) could fit comfortably inside. (If I"d kept digging, I'm sure we could have fit a yeti in there as well.) It all seems like yesterday. /wistful It's a shame COVID had to compromise your daughter's senior HS year so far but hopefully she'll be able to experience some of it after March.

Light snow, eyeballing it 1-2" (like many things, I'm not good at eyeballing). It isn't covering the side streets I see out the window; hell, in December's little dance, the streets were more covered. After I fortify myself with coffee, will head out for Glover-Archibald Park. Or maybe I'll get ambitious and jebhike up Nebraska to Rock Creek. By the time I get there I'm sure the dryslot currently along the Virginias' border will be fully entrenched overhead.

I'm following the probabilistic LWX product like a day trader probably followed Pets.com in 1999. Now it's high-end max for Tenleytown is 12", up from 9".

Same day there was an earthquake in LA. Absolutely crippled the area and probably a lot of individuals who tried to go out in it. Wasn't much fun when I had the balance of youth; do NOT want a repeat of that. Although the February sleet storm, which rivaled 2007, was pretty cool.

I'm losing faith that I'll get much out of the coastal. These transfers are always iffy and this one seems iffier than most (unless you're running a weather model from Toronto). I'll take my 3-6" from the overrunning tomorrow, but if the deform is nailing Philly and NYC while DC is getting a couple of pity flurries on Monday, that's gonna lead to gnashing of teeth. And I already grind them in my sleep and because of COVID haven't been to the dentist for over a year. So I gotta watch that.

That Feb 25th storm is kind of underrated I think. (Maybe because the V-day sleet bomb overshadows it.) But it snowed like hell for several hours that Sunday afternoon. Huge flakes IIRC. "Paste job" indeed! Coincided with my daughter's birthday party down in Glover Park. I remember the short trip back up to home was a bit interesting.

RGEM blows the Knickerbocker away. Just SMH. EDIT: Well, equals it upon closer examination.

It's easy to get greedy with something you get for free ... well, except for paying for the Internet connection that allows you to see the latest trends in models breaking your heart and teaching you why it's not good to get greedy with something -- snow -- you're ostensibly getting for free. I think there's a tautology in there.

For what it's worth, the NWS experimental product that shows high-end totals, just about every location (60-70 or so), all have either 12" or 13" as the maximum. Chances of 8" in Lexington Park is 33%, in Westminster, 45%. Not saying it's right or wrong, but that's a pretty even regionwide LWX forecast area distribution. Usually it seems places like Berkeley Springs or Woodstock's high end is about 3x or 4x more than that for, say, Prince Frederick. Which, of course, in most cases makes mega-sense. And I'm drinking a Washington (state) Cabernet called Gorgeous. It was on sale for 9.99. I used to drink V before snowstorms/blizzards, but yet another concession to age. Cause the Volume God still must be appeased and that's hard to do with Finlandia at 80 proof.

Mammoth does live up to its name. Whenever there's an AR snow blitz in the Sierras, Mammoth always seems to be near or top of the list.

Yeah it does to NYC what Boxing Day did to DC/Balt. Would serve 'em right. The Euro has a bit of a January 25-6 1987 vibe to it (second of the back-to-back snowstorms of that January), at least as far as the accumulation pattern

"But I'm telling you, these models are funny. First you hate them, then you get used to them. Enough time passes, you get so you depend on them."

light to sometimes not-so-light snow, covering the grass