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09-10 analogy

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  1. I don't know what has more staying power: the cam near Grand Isle or Ida itself. One thing is, Ida seems to have quite a bit more video documentation than Laura. Laura was largely at night, though ...
  2. This is a pretty good livestream: https://www.htv10.tv/livestream with the outstanding virtue that the guys aren't claiming to be in 200 MPH gusts.
  3. I think it finally gave out. Put up one hell of a fight, though.
  4. All we need now is to see a great white float by. Or Cthulhu.
  5. I don't know what's more amazing: the footage or the fact there is footage.
  6. Looks like it'll see the eastern inner eye wall ... that is if it still holds. Would be remarkable if the feed holds and somehow it can get a picture of inside the eye. Not that it isn't remarkable footage now.
  7. Then a hurricane came/Devastation reigned/And our man saw his future drip-dripping down the drain
  8. I wonder if Robert Ricks still works for the NWS down there? He was the guy who wrote the legendarily ominous discussion before Katrina. https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2015/08/hurricane-katrina-weather-forecast-robert-ricks-urgent-warning-changed-the-way-forecasts-are-issued.html
  9. Looks like the incoming storm Should have some good T&L. Getting some pretty legit subsevere gusts as well: maybe 40 or so edit: frankly these gusts are about as strong as anything I’ve experienced in my little corner all summer. Maybe 7/1 was a bit higher, hard to say when it’s totally subjective calls
  10. Just heard the Dora gun go off nearby. CG hit a nearby TV tower. Perhaps my favorite aspect of a thunderstorm; a CG strike that lights up the room in broad daylight, followed immediately by thunder that sounds like the mating call of 10,000 brontosaurs with sore throats.
  11. Storm migrating from my south has had more T&L with it than a lot of more well-advertised storms coming from the traditional north and west this season. I think some tiny hail might be mixed in as well.
  12. 2010-11 basically sucked IMO. Carmaggedon was memorable locally primarily courtesy of the internal combustion engine. Otherwise it was 4-7” of (admittedly convective) slop that pummeled NYC with 20” and PHL with 15”. ( I don’t think Baltimore proper did much better.) Boxing day would be by acclimation the greatest screw job ever if we weren’t still coming of the high of the previous winter. Groundhog Day wasn’t our storm of course but that didn’t stop about 2/3 of the rest of the country from cashing in one way or another. Plus I think 40n got a few other moderate events that dc got squat from.
  13. Got a kick from rereading how my pooches slept thru the whole thing. After a decade, I think their non response sticks in my mind more than the quake itself
  14. Dec 09 to Jun 12 was quite the stretch around here: the pre-Xmas 09 snow, the 10 Days that Whited Out Our World in late Jan/early Feb 10, Carmageddon, the tail end of Superoutbreak 2 in April 11, the quake, Irene, Lee, the derecho. Every one of them a big memory (Lee only because I happened to be driving though it) for most DMVers. Since then: well, Jan 2016 of course. But other than than, a few isolated severe events (but anything region-wide?), a couple of good winters without a real signature event, the March 2018 windstorm (didn't really excite me, but I guess I'm the minority there). Nothing to make a scrapbook over. This summer's severe has been good for a lot of folks but all the real fun has edged me by. Then the B-listers: Isaias, the January 2019 snowstorm, a few localized (if notable) flash floods. Just a personal observation, YMWOV. I realize you could lift a lot of 2.5 year periods at random throughout the 100+ year recorded weather of the DMV and make a similar conclusion, and the subjectivity with such an exercise is off in the nth dimension, but it'd be hard to beat 12/09-6/12 from my POV.
  15. The remnant surface is in SW PA now and what to Dc’s south look like it’s going wide to the right? So I guess I shouldn’t plan on much local excitement, not that expectations were that high anyway.
  16. Dodged in MBY the intense stuff again, but there's been a rolling thunderstorm for a couple of hours now and just when I thought things were winding down, I heard a long low rumble. I've been doing some work and haven't checked the radar or this site, but have the windows open, drinking a beer of course, and it's like the bygone era: a thunderstorm that eventually quits and just when you think the action is over for the night, there are signs there's more to come. But you don't know for sure because the umbilical cord of Internet real-time data is not there to verify it for you or not. And, in this past time, you're too lazy to go down and turn on the TV and the weather radar they used to broadcast on cable channel 98. So it's a surprise: that grumble or thunder, or a sudden flash of light or, if you're really lucky, a CG strike in the neighborhood, hitting one of the nearby TV transmission towers, whose sound mainlines right down the spinal cord and would upset the dogs (if I still had them, may they RIP.) Sometimes nights like this are best when you just shut out the real-time data and coverage, and do something else with the windows open, non-weather related, but all the while in the back of your mind you're waiting to hear (or see) whether the convection can keep on keeping on. Then there's an opening act, loud or subtle, a flash or a flicker, and you remember why weather is so damn invigorating, even if it's not extreme. And then, while you're typing an attempt to capture the moment, the feeling of a summer thunderstorm that won't quit, or a train of them following the boundary the first one put down, and then you hear the crickets, and realize 1) that the show is probably over for the evening and 2) that the summer has passed the peak of its ziggurat, and a little melancholy seeps in, and for both reasons: hearing the crickets and not hearing a storm. But then you wander over to SPC and realize that tomorrow is a marginal risk, and expectation springs anew.
  17. Gonna bail soon andcg strokes are only a couple miles away and being at the highest point in town with a chain metal fence and no trees prolly not the best idea as much as I love lightning I’m a bit of a wimp about it
  18. Yeah I’m seeing lightning now across entire western horizon, including branches. Not often I’ve seen this active an electrical show from this vantages that spans the whole horizon. I wonder how that matches with LD display now.
  19. Outflow from moco storm moving thru now. Looks like another near miss Imby to go along with wed and both storms on 7.1 up on ft Reno and there a generous Amount of cg with that moco cell
  20. Wonderful out. Pity the transition from yesterday's much to today's gloriousness was punctuated IMBY by four hours of distant thunder and not much else. Hope the weather is as nice on Thursday. Running the kid up to Baltimore to tour a university.
  21. Yeah, quite ghastly out there. Elsa -- or its remnants -- needs to do a triple Axel jump to the west so that it pulls what the HWRF is showing
  22. In the end, pretty garden variety-ish. So much for my theory about full sun and shelf clouds. National did report a gust that touched severe though. Another LSR of a tree down along Canal Road. Then again, every thunderstorm event around here, invariably there’s a report of a tree down along there or MacArthur or Clara Barton. Surprised at the local FFWarn; the rain wasn’t especially torrential IMBY. Maybe they’re expecting another round before the warning expires at 630
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