09-10 analogy

I’m assuming our property near Beaufort is ok. Haven’t heard from our tenants so no news is good news. Area got pretty hard hit by both Matthew and Irma.

When Charley went thru ft. Myers in 2004 my wife had the unfortunate luck to be visiting her parents at the time. With our 3 month old daughter in tow. They made out fine but couldn’t get back to DC for 10 days or so and were miserable in the heat. She brought me back a “I survived Hurricane Charley” t-shirt, which I put away and then uncovered this spring when I was cleaning out old clothes. So I’ve been wearing the hell out of that shirt this summer. Since it was in good condition from all those years at the bottom of a drawer. Will have to put it away now because a)wearing it is probably bad form and b) it’s, frankly, been rendered obsolete by Ian.

Even with all the big storms of this century so far, our very own Isabel still leads the pack in terms of Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE): Isabel 173 Sandy 141 Katrina 121 Wilma 103 Frances 93 Ivan 81 Flo 49 Ian 47 (tentative?) Ida 47 Dennis 40 Laura 21 Andrew 20 Charley 7 Other storms of note: Opal 120, Hugo 94, Andrew 20 (from Jeff Masters' site: yaleclimateconnections.org) Don't ask me why I'm posting this at 4 AM. I thought I could go at least one year without worrying about our house down near Beaufort, SC, on an island. That's not the whole reason for my insomnia, but a bit of it. ETA: Another site had Irma with about 50 IKE and Michael with about 25.

Don't know, sorry. I just watch the youtube site with the sound down.

Severe Studios have a webcam in Punta Gorda that's supposedly going to emerge into the eye shortly, for those who are interested.

Somewhere in here there's a joke lurking about all the people who'll need loans for reconstruction in SW Florida, but I'm not clever enough to tease it out.

ROMA: James, I’m glad to you, James. I want to show you something. It might mean nothing to you...and it might not. I don't know. I don't know anymore.(pause. He takes out a small map and spreads it on a table) What is that? Florida. Glengarry Highlands. Florida. "Florida. Bullshit." And maybe that's true, and that's what I said, but look here: what is this? This is a piece of land. Listen to what I’m going to tell you now:

Some of those idiots on the pier have to be trolls; there was just a shot of a dynamic duo one of whom had an umbrella that of course was trashed

Cover photo for my upcoming book, “A Practitioners Guide to Suicide.”

Driving up next week to central NY to do a little hiking and then pick our daughter up from Toothpaste U. Would be nice to see some tropical-induced flurries. Remnant Ian circulation over the Lakes and boom, you've got a coverlet of snew. I may be counting on higher latitude too much here ...

Just want to see DC pop up in the wind probabilities chart at the next update. At a 1 for 34k, but whatever. Kind of like getting a pity MD with a dying line of thundershowers to our west.

Any torwarnings with the band moving thru Miami Dade? I haven’t seen any …

One thing I found out when poking around the Hillsbourgh co site re: Ian; the county has an Animal Abuser Registry similar to one for child abusers. That’s a really good idea.

Yeah I worded that poorly; Ivan spawned 40 tornadoes in VA. At least according to St. Wiki. Irene was every bit the storm Isabel was in my neck of the woods, as I recall. But I don't think its effects along the Bay, for instance, were like Isabel's.

So, an offhand ranking of the severity of impacts of "I" named tropical systems in our area: 1. Isabel -- I think that gets the first ranking pretty much hands down. Then it gets harder. 2. Irene? 3. Ida (2021 version)? 4. Ivan? 5. Isaias? Could easily be ranked above Ivan but 40 tornadoes from the latter in Virginia is pretty impressive. Sure there are ones I'm missing/forgotten.

Outflow coming thru

He looks like he’s done some powerlifting in his time.

Yeah, NE DC got clocked. Not much here on the other side of town, though I could hear the thunder and see the flashes from the lightning from that cell that rocked places like Gallaudet U. I suppose the top-secret Thunderstorm Intensification Device in Rock Creek Park had something to do with that.

Getting old really has no upside. I'm sure as hell not wiser than I was 20 years ago. Only comfort is that I wasn't that wise then, either.

Been there. One of those moments where I think, "****, I hope this isn't incipient Alzheimer's."

Orioles trade Trey. I thought they might, but still kind of sad. Guy is a class act and an inspiration. And I don't usually like to say public figures are "inspirations" because most of them really aren't. But he handled colon cancer with courage and came back from it to play baseball well at the highest level. Same reason why I always admired Eric Davis. Hope Mancini gets a ring with the Astros.

Nice one! I meant to get a pic of the Cb that passed over yesterday afternoon; not too tall, but quite striking: the "bubbly effect" was outlined very nicely against the late afternoon sun in the west. Brought to mind one of my earliest weather memories: end of the season Little League, we had a picnic, a violent thunderstorm came through, we all had to take shelter, and when it was over, I remember seeing this huge Cb to the east retreating away, with not a single other cloud in the sky.

Third best record in the league since May 1. And the Sox can lump it.

Like the announcer said, the CF looked like a real boob in that clip: not only did he not clue the RF/LF into the fact that he totally lost the ball (which happens), but once he knew the ball had landed way behind him, he didn't make a step after it (which should never happen, at this level certainly).

Make sure there's a place you can measure snowfall accurately!