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09-10 analogy

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  1. 09-10 analogy
    So far, perhaps surprisingly, no TOR reports on the EC from the SPC site: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
  2. 09-10 analogy
    SPC doesn't seem to be dropping the watches to the west, so why not go for round two?
  3. 09-10 analogy
    Wow. Was there any radar rotation indicated with that cell as it went through, or is that all straight-line?
  4. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah that had to be the little cell that popped 20 min or so before the main line. Because that little cell fell apart east of the District. I know weather is more complex than that, but it seems to fit with what occurred inside the Beltway and why this was just another storm here, as opposed to many other places, where it seemed to amply justify the Moderate Risk. But I was semi-blasted Saturday before last, so I don't feel particularly letdown.
  5. 09-10 analogy
    Nice little storm, with a decent amount of T&L and winds to maybe 35, but, as another poster noted, nothing like last weekend ... at least MBY. I could see the clouds booking but the winds aloft didn't seem to be transferring to the ground level. Or maybe not, I don't know. Maybe that little cell before the main line prevented it? Crazy stuff up in Westminster though.
  6. 09-10 analogy
    Well whatever we're gonna get we're gonna get in the next few minutes.
  7. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah but we had mini-me come through to let the air out. Of course it's awfully dark to our west so maybe we'll still see some action.
  8. 09-10 analogy
    Actually that little cell fell apart like a Dollar General t-shirt in the heavy duty wash cycle. Maybe the big line will give us some excitement after all.
  9. 09-10 analogy
    Ehh, it'll prolly just ruin the main segment for the immediate DC metro. ETA: Anyhoo, it got dark here suddenly with some dollops of rain and low thunder. Actually now a downpour, but nothing else. Atmospheric premature ejac .... oh, this is a family website, so I'll stop there. But I think that's what may be happening DC immediate. ETA: I'm sure once this passes DC it'll put down wedges all the way to the Patapsco River.
  10. 09-10 analogy
    It's kind of depressing to read LWX: "this only happens a couple of times a decade." If we can't get decent widespread moderate/significant snow events around here anymore, it'd be nice if we could replace that with one or two robust QLCSs per year, like today.
  11. 09-10 analogy
    Looks like the peak of that bow may flush hit IAD. Interesting to see what their report will be.
  12. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah it's now SVR TS warned and looks to pass just to the north of Charlottesville. ETA: sorry, you just posted essentially the same thing.
  13. 09-10 analogy
    I have to admit, I haven't been this weenied out pre-event, I think, since 2016. Probably should dial it back a bit.
  14. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah I've been looking for that. I don't see any mid-level clouds right now, although I'm in the city and so visibility is limited. Admittedly, the low-level cumulus are moving pretty quickly to the N/NW. I remember 2002, the day of the LaPlata (E?)F4, seeing in Rock Creek Park low-level and mid-level clouds moving pretty quickly in different directions. This was a couple of hours before the LaPlata supercell took off. That memory (I was running there at the time) has stuck with me for some reason.
  15. 09-10 analogy
    For some reason, this reminds me of a play-by-play at a golf tournament.
  16. 09-10 analogy
    "the vertical shear is off the charts." That's the summertime equivalent of "robust frontogenesis will lead to rates of 2-3"/hour."
  17. 09-10 analogy
    Is that hodo the "wavy" kind that was mentioned in an SPC/LWX AFD (I forget which office) a day or so ago?
  18. 09-10 analogy
    How much of that hype do you think can be attributed to last week's storms?
  19. 09-10 analogy
    Believe me, when I saw that tree that had pancaked a (fortunately, parked) car from last week's downburst in DC ... well, I've seen tons of pictures of that kind of thing, but to see it first-hand, it brings home how dangerous 70-80+ straight-line winds can be in areas with lots of big old elm and oak trees. Bit of a quandary, because I want to park under a big-canopy tree to protect my car somewhat from hail, but that same tree might demolish my car. (No garage at my house, most people on my street have one at the back of their property, but I'm right next to a corner lot and the way our neighborhood is laid out, corner lots and those adjacent don't have garages that back onto alleys.)
  20. 09-10 analogy
    Then there's 1944, when a couple of F4 tornadoes hopped over ridges, evidently, like I'd hop into a pool.
  21. 09-10 analogy
    Who’s up for a wind-driven PDS watch today?
  22. 09-10 analogy
    I always like second rounds. Somewhat lost in the excitement, maybe, but we haven’t had too many days this summer with HIs over 100, as mentioned in the AFD.
  23. 09-10 analogy
    That always seems to be a threat. Still high clouds here; I’m beginning to temper expectations for my back yard. Still think it’ll be a big day for MA overall
  24. 09-10 analogy
    Last weekend’s two wind events aside, it’s been a pretty boring stretch of weather around here; we’ve earned some excitement.
  25. 09-10 analogy
    This is a mt. fort Reno day for sure. May need to take a folding chair there.
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