09-10 analogy

Very active late February/early March period forecast to occur; perhaps we can sneak some of that up there? And, yeah, an EF2 in New Jersey in February is pretty impressive. Mercer also had an EF2 in 2021, and then there was the Ida outbreak a month later. New Jersey is the new Kansas.

Nice start to the beginning: "All systems go for a major and unusual storm." Fun times on the Grapevine. And this: "Cyclonic spin would allow for waterspout activity over the ocean with brief small tornadoes near the coast." Tornadoes to the west of me, blizzards to the east, here I am/Stuck in the middle with you. Cue Mr. Blonde.

Ho-hum, another wind advisory. Wind chime retailers in the DMV must be making a fortune, what with all the replacement business traffic they get. I am enjoying reading some of the AFDs from out west and the Upper Midwest. Live vicariously, I suppose. I especially like this part from MPX: By 6PM, the phasing and vertical continuity of the upper levels is evident, creating a phenomenal scene at the surface. As the surface low moves up from the southwest, winds will approach 25 to 35 MPH areawide, with gusts approaching 45 to 50 MPH in western and central MN ... This would be similar to what occurred April 2018, when the Twin Cities received 15.8 inches of snow. Due to obstructions, it is hard to get blizzard conditions in major metropolitan areas such as the Twin Cities, but with the actively falling snow and strong winds, this would be an event that could do so. Speaking historically, this event could very well break top five snowfalls in the Twin Cities dating back to 1884. It goes on to mention the "Domebuster" storm -- one of the top 5 -- of 2010. Great name for a snowstorm, I guess that was the one that caused the Metrodome's roof to deflate.

Yeah pretty windy out there ATM.

Not our area per se, but this is an outstanding AFD from Birmingham regarding the possible severe weather in the AL/MS/TN area today. Very educational ... well, to me at least. Anyway, thought I'd share it. https://kamala.cod.edu/al/latest.fxus64.KBMX.html

My daughter got to experience -20 below air temps in CNY. I’ve never experienced that kind of low before, so I’m jealous. Still have her and probably most people beat on the high, though: 122 in the shade in Death Valley in august 2000.

Actually best action definitely to my immediate south. Radar extrapolations are a big no-no but hell I don’t live here and no one in this forum really gives a tinker’s damn, but I believe these local forecasts for 6”+ are gonna turn turtle. 20 miles south of here, yeah. At home, it’s 20 miles NORTH. Oh, well.

Up in Hamilton NY dropping my daughter off at college. Expecting 6-9”, snowing moderately now. We’ve had a heavy band pass though for a bit an hour or so ago. Getting to the high end locally is prolly dependent on where exactly the FRONTGEN sets up, might be just south of here. Got a few beers, my wife and I are going to take a walk in a bit. Really, there’’s nothing like falling snow at night, especially in unfamiliar surroundings, when it’s not too cold out. There’s an old cemetery right across the road from the motel, might be a good place to commune with the snow spirits and tell them to give DC a break. Like Aragon in LOTR demanding the dead to pay off their debt to Gondor. I just don’t have the proper sword. Roads should be fine for trip home tomorrow, at least what the locals say. When {if?} I retire, I could easily do it up here. Take the equity from our modest bungalow in dc and could prolly get a g/d Victorian with wraparound porches and turrets to watch for Redcoats coming across the border from Canada.

“Some say the world will end in fire, Some say in ice. From what I’ve tasted of desire I hold with those who favor fire. But if it had to perish twice, I think I know enough of hate To say that for destruction ice Is also great And would suffice.”

Car thermometer reads 6, but did not start up car to read it. Extrapolating from surrounding WU sites, I’ll head canon that I reached 5. I had an old-fashioned thermometer but it doesn’t stay put in its brace. I really should invest in some glitzy digital product. I’m so behind the times, even the classified ads are simply vague receding shapes on the horizon.

Car thermometer—only one I have—read 19. Went for a bit of a stroll after working out. Not bad out except for the wind, as the bromide goes

Yep that’s the highest I saw from the most recent LWX ob list. I’ve been well into the 40s, at least, here.

EF2 at least

No accumulation, but there’s a nice sized puddle near a storm sewer on my street, so it’ll be interesting to see when it freezes over. that has got to be the nerdiest thing I’ve ever posted here, and that’s saying something. Most places, saying “I spent the Friday before Christmas watching standing water freeze over near a sewer” would get me committed.

Now the wait is on to see if any surface starts to “cave.” ill prolly be waiting a month or so for that.

Some potent gusts and flurries in up nw. I’d say we’ve gone from intermittent flurries to light to moderate snow. Been a while since I’ve seen snow vectoring at 240-270 degrees

They better bolt down the national Christmas tree against the wedges that are going to form on the Ellipse.

Does the fact that the 12z shows more of a closed 500 low than the 0z have any implications as to trend? EDIT: As in, trending toward a more gratifying surface solutions for weenies.

I've never posted the following anytime, anywhere, but now is as good a time as ever: America, f**k yeah!

Clearly obvious why the Veterans Day snowstorm was so anomalous for the DMV ... ... Parr's Ridge didn't jack.

Did you get my PM requesting to join your Discord?

Noticed that too last night. Now I know what exactly was making that sound!

It was quite warm yesterday during Wisconsin ave open streets event. Bit of a gambit planning it for early nov, but it paid off. Almost too warm

May be even foggier now than Tuesday

Knife. Cut. Fog. Proverbial.