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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Are there any EPS members that do anything with a trailing wave or changeover scenario? The EPS mean snowfall makes me think there are at least a few...
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like not much falls after the 850 line passes at 18z, but snowmaps on stormvista do show some accumulation.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That's true, and as a DC guy I wouldn't even be mad considering we just scored. My bar is low for this one. If DC can get 1-2 inches as the arctic front came through I'd be more than happy. 06z EPS mean maps look a little better for the DC area with a potential changeover. Here is the 24 hour 06z snow map ending ending Sunday afternoon with 00z for comparison.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Comparing the Euro at 90h on 06z to 96h on 00z I see the vort over the deep south is a little further SW, I'm assuming that's what we're looking for because that might imply better separation of the streams and less phasing?
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It looks better. Colder and wetter. Stormvista has 2-4 for DC.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like the cold outruns the precipitation by a wide margin this run, no hints of a trailing wave I can decipher. Edit: I mean precip outruns cold
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not even close with the lead wave or any potential trailing wave.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So you're not totally giving up on the trailing wave?
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah, I need to stop using the stormvista snow algorithm, seems like it's some trash. I really like stormvista in general though.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Does anyone else use stormvista? The snow algorithms seem a bit wonky when a changeover is involved. It shows like 4-6 inches Sunday afternoon in dc on the euro even though I'm pretty sure wxbell doesn't.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6Z EPS mean improved from 0Z, mean snowfall is 1-2 for DC and 2-4 for the most of Maryland, I can't see the individual members though.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6z Euro is 1-2 from Montgomery county north and 2-4 along the M/D line.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6Z GEFS still likes the idea of some back end stuff, mean snowfall across our area jumps a bunch sunday.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    18z EPS at 144 has some signs of a trailing wave, 6 hr snow mean ending at 18z Sunday of 2-4 around DC.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow yeah. EPS snow mean jumps up around that time period as well so I think it’s got the same idea. Imagine we score twice before the pattern even changes lol.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I’m assuming all with the trailing wave, not the initial low, right?
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Let a man dream at least....30 degree temp drop then 5 inches of powder, then single digit lows...that would be TASTY. Euro was trying something similar at 12z.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not an insignificant event, GFS drops 4-6 in DC according to stormvista maps. I know typically these don’t work out for us but hey, it may be our only option with this storm.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GFS more amped up but then develops a trailing wave, would be cool to get a little backend snow with our 30 degree temp drop in Sunday.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s on stormvista, could be a messed up snow algorithm with the changeover.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It has northern burbs 4-6, DC 6-8, and south and east 8-10, all in 6 hours.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro has us dropping from 55 to 25 in 6 hours Sunday afternoon...talk about a cold front.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It actually gives us decent snow on the backend this run....interesting.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro has less phasing between the northern and southern streams at 135.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro is 1-2 for most of the northern tier with marginal temps.
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