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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. 0.4 to 0.6 right around DC for part 1, temps marginal throughout though.
  2. My bar for this one is 3 inches and cold enough temps that it looks like winter and there aren’t giant puddles in between the snow on my driveway.
  3. Understandable. Hopefully Euro is just setting the southern edge of the possible solutions now and everything doesn't tick tick tick away from us up until game time. My hunch is it doesn't get too much further south but who knows.
  4. I do think there is a higher upside but I also think that second wave still has time to trend away from us if it feels like it. If everything goes right we'd get 6-10, which is why I stopped the top range at 5 because that hasn't happened recently hahaha. And plus, it would be fun to bust low because hey that means it snowed more than I thought it would.
  5. I like the calls. I'm going 2-5 for DC metro.
  6. GFS and RGEM look on track, NAM misses the second wave.
  7. Do you have surface temps? I imagine they’re pretty cold given the orientation of precip.
  8. Goal posts are narrowing quite nicely here, not a lot of disagreement at this point. GFS on the northern end and Euro on the southern with the ICON, CMC, and UKMET in the middle. This is what I like to see in the lead up to an event. Obviously we all know anything could happen but my confidence is gradually increasing that this event is real and we will get a moderate snowfall.
  9. We won't even sniff freezing temps during this multi day event. This run is a work of art for us.
  10. This might be the busiest tracking period in over 5 years. We've got overrunning, a follow up wave, a potential weekend coastal and arctic air, plus long range pattern looking good.
  11. Doesn't look TOO bad based on the TT maps, starts off the upper 30s 18z Wednesday and cools to about freezing by 00z. Workable but of course we know how things go here with marginal temps a lot of the time.
  12. I like the look of the CMC 12z run slightly better at 54 than 00z, you'd think based on that panel it would be shifting slightly south as well.
  13. I'm having flashbacks from the NYC blizzard where the Euro/EPS consistently had our area right in the center of the bullseye.
  14. Any other year I'd be so confident with the Euro/EPS in our corner vs. the NAM/GFS but this year ehhhhhhhh
  15. I think he’s saying 00z looked good but 06z looks even better. Either way, they both look great.
  16. You gotta like how far south the 850 and surface freezing lines are.
  17. Well I’m an islanders fan anyway. And we beat the caps and the flyers last year in the playoffs.
  18. As a Jets fan Im surprised this ever happened but I was rooting for Brady tonight. Truly the GOAT.
  19. Isn't that a huge step back? I don’t think so, this just covers the late week threat. Looks close to 12 iirc.
  20. That sounds good. I like beers like that every once in a while. I usually settle on beers I can have 2-4 of without being hammered.
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