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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    Surprised this thread isn't more active.
  2. Powerball
    And maybe I'm looking at different models, but if anything, most of them are trending drier with weaker forcing for the Detroit area specifically, as the system is no longer getting as deep as originally expected and the deepening is at a slower pace. That includes the GFS and FV3 compared to yesterday's runs.
  3. Powerball
    Welp, it's snowing here...
  4. Powerball
    How much less could you care?
  5. Powerball
    Same goes for the 03z RAP...
  6. Powerball
    While drier out west, snowfall-wise, the 00z GFS was the best run (in a while) for Detroit.
  7. Powerball
    Rumor is the Lions are actually going to the playoffs this season. Is that true?
  8. Powerball
    The wheels are really falling off now!!!
  9. Powerball
    Latest FV3 might come through with another run for Michigan...
  10. Powerball
    It has definitely become the new norm... The ridiculously progressive northern stream flow makes it too difficult for any storm to dig and become too amped before it gets sheared apart by confluence.The days when we could get legitimately deep/amped storms such as Jan '99, Dec. '06, Dec. '09 or GHD 1 (2011) seem like a distant memory at this point.
  11. Powerball
    So in reality, compared to past runs, the EURO has been on a downward tend amount-wise, including for Detroit and the 18z run.
  12. Powerball
    It's probably even more hollow than Chicago's though. Total accumulation of 2-4" (for Detroit), lol...
  13. Powerball
    To my shock, DTX went with a Winter Storm Warning area-wide...
  14. Powerball
    lol.
  15. Powerball
    In terms of overall evolution, yeah. But on a micro level, how quicky it deepens and takes on a negative tilt will dictate the extent of snowfall and blizzard conditions the further SE in Michigan you get.
  16. Powerball
    Yeah, the NW flow LES belts should still do well if the synoptic snows are underwhelming.
  17. Powerball
    But the GFS had it that low over the Thumb, which was my point.
  18. Powerball
    GFS at this point is a fair bit deeper than the other models. Even the EURO only gets to ~980mb.
  19. Powerball
    Yes. Still, rooting for y'all to get a big dog, plus, there's shit else to talk about down here besides freezing my ass off.
  20. Powerball
    That's because the models have trended in the direction of not deepening the storm as much. Which that makes sense with the trough not being as sharp and not digging as much.
  21. Powerball
    For SW and SC Michigan, yes. It looks less impressive for the northern part of the state, and the areas closer to Detroit still look as "meh" as they have been amount-wise
  22. Powerball
    But that won't stop them from bashing "dA wEdDeRmAn!!!" for getting it wrong or overhyping the storm...
  23. Powerball
    Those weenie model runs that dumped 1-2 feet in Chicago are still making their rounds across social media. Going to be a lot of disappointed average joes, haha!!!
  24. Powerball
    Compared to the hell most of us will be dealing with, that sounds like paradise to me...
  25. Powerball
    But they did get beefed up somewhat in SW Michigan into Central/Northern MI.
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