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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    I think @michsnowfreak would be ok with that...
  2. Powerball
    For the interest of the Detroit folks, 00z GFS did shift back SE a bit (and it's a of a run)...
  3. Powerball
    Wow! Surprised to see DTX go with a WSW and 6-10" (mostly) area-wide...
  4. Powerball
    The NAM being so far NW won't be right, but it appears the RGEM, UKMET and other Hi-Res models from this morning are also going to be wrong with being so far SE.
  5. Powerball
    Oh...
  6. Powerball
    Aside from that stuff in SE Dallas, pretty good clearing has moved in.
  7. Powerball
    The cells along I-35 in Southern Dallas County are really trying hard to organize. There's a subtle eastward shift to them though...
  8. Powerball
  9. Powerball
    Some activity is starting to percolate along the Johnson/Ellis County border...
  10. Powerball
    Also January 1999.
  11. Powerball
  12. Powerball
    Eh, those cells still look to be struggling on radar right now.
  13. Powerball
    No changes with the latest SPC Day 1 outlook...
  14. Powerball
  15. Powerball
    Weak forcing, although stuff is starting to become organized just north of the OFB.
  16. Powerball
    Hopefully, they do a 21z sounding as well.
  17. Powerball
    Not all 977mb lows are created equal, so that means nothing in isolation. See, for example, the Christmas eve storm which was nearly as strong but produced very underwhelmimg snowfall amounts for most. Temp profiles, storm track and location/residence/intensity of better lift/instability/moisture are the more relevant factors. That said, I'll eat crow if 12"+ amounts happen (not including any LES). I'd love for you all to get a big dog.
  18. Powerball
    But I will say, I'm seeing a lot more towering/billowing CU over the past half hour.
  19. Powerball
    Something has been trying to go up over Irving and Lewisville. It's struggling mightily though.
  20. Powerball
  21. Powerball
    The 18z HRRR is also stronger with the low, a bit warmer overall, and it backed off a bit with the snowfall amounts.
  22. Powerball
    Unless you're in TX and OK apparently, as of late...
  23. Powerball
  24. Powerball
    Latest radar is starting to show some percolation of additional cells along the residual otuflow boundary from yesterday that's bisecting DFW We'll see if they start to organize...
  25. Powerball
    I think that's the right move. Either that or issue an extremely large and marathon length Tornado Watch.
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