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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    See our last PM conversation...
  2. Powerball
    BTW, DTW finally issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of its CWA. They're hitting the blizzard wording fairly strong too. Didn't get too specific with amounts, other than calling for the potential of at least 5-6".
  3. Powerball
    Will be interesting to see if the other global models (NAM may never get a clue) start to catch on to a 06z GFS solution by the 12z runs. Would need blizzard warnings across all of Lower MI for that, easily.
  4. Powerball
    06z GFS was pretty brutal (in a good way) across SW and Central MI.
  5. Powerball
    06z NAM is definitely a bit worse, certainly drier.
  6. Powerball
    Was there already a decent snowpack in place ahead of 1978?
  7. Powerball
    Knock on wood of course, but all things considered, you seem to be a good spot right now.
  8. Powerball
    It was initially headed in the direction of a NAM solution, but ended up being just a slightly version of the 06z run. EDIT: Slightly stronger...
  9. Powerball
    GFS is looking a lot more NAM-like...
  10. Powerball
    FWIW, 12z RGEM is weaker (thus doesn't wrap up nearly as well), but the track is the same from the 00z run and it's not NAM bad with the cold sector precip. So still a solid run of the mill event for IL / WI / W. MI.
  11. Powerball
    Welp, this might age like wine...
  12. Powerball
    Understatement of the century...
  13. Powerball
    lol at the 12z NAM. The bleeding continues...
  14. Powerball
    IMO, a Winter Storm Watch was still the right decision as it is for the *POTENTIAL* of a warning criteria storm (which the potential, fleeting it may be, is still there). If things do completely fall apart, the watch can always be downgraded to an advisory or cancelled.
  15. Powerball
    Depending on how the 12z model runs trend for the late week system, this thread might get quite the workout soon.
  16. Powerball
    Same windshield wiper pattern happened with GHD 3 as well. Seems to be the SOP with potentially major winter storms these days.
  17. Powerball
    Indeed.
  18. Powerball
    From the Ohio Thread:
  19. Powerball
    00z GEFS shifted east as well, with the mean track over Cleveland.
  20. Powerball
    Weenie run meaning it's likely too generous with the snowfall amounts, as well as how widespread those snowfall amounts will be.
  21. Powerball
    Definitely a weenie run, but probably the best case "spread the wealth" outcome to make as many people happy as possible.
  22. Powerball
    lol at the ICON. Detroit and Indy reeling it back in!!!
  23. Powerball
    lol at the NAM. A glorified arctic front for everyone except (maybe) Northern MI...
  24. Powerball
    The RGEM does have an 18z run, and it only goes to 84hr on Pivotal Weather.
  25. Powerball
    How can you tell when the RGEM only goes through 84hr?
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