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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. While drier out west, snowfall-wise, the 00z GFS was the best run (in a while) for Detroit.
  2. Rumor is the Lions are actually going to the playoffs this season. Is that true?
  3. Latest FV3 might come through with another run for Michigan...
  4. It has definitely become the new norm... The ridiculously progressive northern stream flow makes it too difficult for any storm to dig and become too amped before it gets sheared apart by confluence.The days when we could get legitimately deep/amped storms such as Jan '99, Dec. '06, Dec. '09 or GHD 1 (2011) seem like a distant memory at this point.
  5. So in reality, compared to past runs, the EURO has been on a downward tend amount-wise, including for Detroit and the 18z run.
  6. It's probably even more hollow than Chicago's though. Total accumulation of 2-4" (for Detroit), lol...
  7. To my shock, DTX went with a Winter Storm Warning area-wide...
  8. In terms of overall evolution, yeah. But on a micro level, how quicky it deepens and takes on a negative tilt will dictate the extent of snowfall and blizzard conditions the further SE in Michigan you get.
  9. Yeah, the NW flow LES belts should still do well if the synoptic snows are underwhelming.
  10. But the GFS had it that low over the Thumb, which was my point.
  11. GFS at this point is a fair bit deeper than the other models. Even the EURO only gets to ~980mb.
  12. Yes. Still, rooting for y'all to get a big dog, plus, there's shit else to talk about down here besides freezing my ass off.
  13. That's because the models have trended in the direction of not deepening the storm as much. Which that makes sense with the trough not being as sharp and not digging as much.
  14. For SW and SC Michigan, yes. It looks less impressive for the northern part of the state, and the areas closer to Detroit still look as "meh" as they have been amount-wise
  15. But that won't stop them from bashing "dA wEdDeRmAn!!!" for getting it wrong or overhyping the storm...
  16. Those weenie model runs that dumped 1-2 feet in Chicago are still making their rounds across social media. Going to be a lot of disappointed average joes, haha!!!
  17. Compared to the hell most of us will be dealing with, that sounds like paradise to me...
  18. But they did get beefed up somewhat in SW Michigan into Central/Northern MI.
  19. BTW, DTW finally issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of its CWA. They're hitting the blizzard wording fairly strong too. Didn't get too specific with amounts, other than calling for the potential of at least 5-6".
  20. Will be interesting to see if the other global models (NAM may never get a clue) start to catch on to a 06z GFS solution by the 12z runs. Would need blizzard warnings across all of Lower MI for that, easily.
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