Powerball

Tornado Warning OKC013-041900- /O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0056.221104T1808Z-221104T1900Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 108 PM CDT Fri Nov 4 2022 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Bryan County in southeastern Oklahoma... * Until 200 PM CDT. * At 108 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Sherman, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Durant, Colbert, Achille, Kemp, Hendrix, Cartwright, Blue, Utica, eastern Lake Texoma and Calera. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3372 9637 3378 9643 3377 9650 3382 9653 3382 9658 3384 9662 3403 9645 3403 9621 3375 9621 3377 9629 3375 9631 3370 9632 3369 9636 TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 226DEG 28KT 3362 9668 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Mahale

That cell over Lake Ray Roberts seems to have lightning with it now. Might be one to watch.

SPC mesoanalysis gives a good hint of what things look like, and it is definitely a bit ominous. Sill some residual capping, but it's eroding rapidly. In fact, an argument could be made the risk areas should be expanded a bit further west.

I don't think so. This event will be almost entirely driven by good jet dynamics despite less than ideal thermodynamics. If anything, FWD's discussion from yesterday mentioned those streamer showers (like the one you're getting now) would have to be watch for growth into discrete supercells over the next few hours.

Already have dews in the mid/upper 60s.

Still some uncertainties to work out with timing and storm mode. The NAM and other Hi-Res models are a lot slower and more ominous-looking for North Texas and Southern Oklahoma Friday evening, whereas the global models shift the better threat (less ominous) into E. Texas pretty quickly Friday afternoon. I tend to think the more progressive / less ominous outcome will win out, especially with the help of mesoscale influences such as storm outfllows from morning activity.

Gotta "love" Joe Q. Public...

We're getting a taste of your weather soon too, as we actually might not get out of the 60s here by early next week. As awesome as September and the first half of October has been, it's definitely too early for my liking.

The mid-level lapse rates were somewhat decent with the cold pool aloft, but that's about the only thing that stood out from an instability standpoint. I didn't see any lightning with this activity on the detectors either.

Down here, we've had temps mostly in the 80s with low humidity and mostly clear skies for the past week, and it will continue for another week.Can't get more top shelf than that. Only some weirdo could hate this weather

A reporter with another media outlet blew right into Jim Cantore while he was giving a live update on TWC.

One good reason a Cat 4 vs. Cat 5 designation matters is because it factors into the amount of financial assistance that can be authorized to aid in recovery.

This one will likely be Delta'd as a Cat 4.

Severe thunderstorm warning here. No lightning/thunder, but getting some sideway blowing rain. EDIT: Got a few loud cracks of thunder. It's one of thise storms too where the sun is still out.

I don't miss that crap at all. You have my condolences...

GHD 2011 in Chicago, or NYE 2008 in Detroit's NW suburbs.

A Groundhog Day pattern has returned. Every day will be like the last for the forseeable future. Sunny with temps in the 90s...

My rate was $424 in downtown Nashville, granted that was at one of the "budget" hotels (Hilton Garden Inn). I booked it over 1.5 months out, and most hotels were already sold out at that point.

Fortunately, I'm in the path of totality this time around as well. I went to Nashville for the last one (that was before I left Michigan). But no travel for me in 2024!

I lied. This is the last one...

One more...

After sunny skies through early afternoon and highs in the mid 90s, just got smacked pretty good here with a severe thunderstorm. Addison airport gusted to 51 MPH. Had an awesome-looking sheil cloud too.

High dewpoint depression, especially at the surface, helps.

What a flip from the first half of August...