Maggie Valley Steve

Winter RECON Missions upcoming over the Pacific ENE of Hawaii sampling the Upper Low tomorrow. Additionally missions for the atmospheric River streaming in across the Baja and Texas are planned as well.

Hey Gang. There's a big storm acomin!

Still garbage here as well.

I believe that you folks in GSP area are extremely close to a dividing line due to a possibility of a pesky warm nose. That said, this far out (beyond 36 to 48 hours) it is a wait and see situation. There is little doubt that the potential is rather high for a Major Winter Storm from Central Texas and points E to the Atlantic Coast. I believe that certainty is all we can expect for a Storm 5 to 7 days out. You're welcome to hang out with our group. We may not be the most popular, but the knowledge base of our Mountain folk is second to none in my opinion.

Yeah, the chatter across the NWS and WPC has definitely increased today with GSP mentioning a Major Winter Storm this weekend. Of course there are many details to be worked out. I'm keeping an eye on a sneaky little disturbance Thursday for possibly an appetizer before the Big Show!

Very cold, dense and shallow Artic airmasses have always haunted me living in SE Texas. Old wintry mischief concerns are hard to let go of...

Once we get closer, that old warm nose could be coming into play particularly for Asheville down into Greenville/Spartanburg.

The Euro is coming in a bit stronger with a 1053 mb high pressure and is capturing the upper low in the Eastern Pacific. It's going to be a big winter storm producer.

Not even worth posting.

I had a low of 16 this morning. So I guess we'll be watching things unfold this week.

Speaking of Carvers Gap in the Tennessee Valley forum. I'm borrowing this shot of the 12Z Euro ensemble for 150 hours. That's about as good as it can get 6 days out. Remember our next event will begin unfolding around Wednesday night/Thursday for N TX and Arkansas. The short term Mesoscale Guidance will be in range Tuesday for those areas. Also, that is brutally cold air dropping down from the Dekotas and Minnesota into the mid Mississippi/Ohio Valley!

So the American/Canadian/European models all have the potential event next weekend. The Euro drops 19 inches of digital snow in the Valley.

Hunter brings great insights with awesome knowledge of our "local" climates! Our group is truly amazing that brings a wealth of knowledge. When I moved here permanently in 2019 (I lived here during my last two years of college at Mars Hill back in the day late 70's), the Mountain group welcomed me and I found my fix for this disease we call weather! I certainly like our chances particularly next weekend and beyond! I suspect we'll have plenty of opportunities well into mid/late February.

Temperature is starting to fall fairly quickly now. Currently 37 which was my morning low this morning after a high of 45. Now if we can just get some moisture.

No accumulation at the house, but it looks like 2 to 3 inches above 3700 ft and Cataloochee reported 3 inches of fresh snow overnight. The mountains around the house look beautiful this morning!

It's been going on for decades!

The Guest Suite just booked for the weekend so all is good!

I don't know folks. The 12Z 3km NAM sure is keying in on the Balsams and Cataloochee Mountains overnight. That model suggests 6 to 8 inches around here. Cut the totals in half and it's still 3 to 4 inches.

My low was 12 this morning. My high yesterday was 23. Cataloochee has been making snow non stop since 10 PM Wednesday night. The mountain looks awesome and ready for the busy Holiday Weekend!

GSP does the same along with most WFO's since about 2017 I believe.

18Z 3km NAM has 5 inches for the Valley through Saturday morning.

Light snow at the house currently.

So GSP stated in their afternoon disco that snow totals have increased today for NE Georgia and the SW Mountains for tomorrow night into Saturday. That headline sounds familiar from the past couple days before last night. We'll see how it plays out. Currently light snow on Hemphill Bald and Cataloochee.

The NAM gave me 4 inches and the Euro gives me 2 for Friday night/Saturday morning.

I got Nam'ed Friday night to Saturday morning with 4 inches...lol