Maggie Valley Steve

I ended up with 3.67 inches of rain for the event. Jonathan Creek is running well above normal.

We've really dodged a bullet today here in the Valley. It's been fluctuating between light to moderate rain the past couple of hours and still stuck at 33. The ground is really saturated now. Fingers and toes crossed that flooding issues do not become a reality.

33 and rain at the house.

Starting the day at 37.

Down to 36 at the house. Cataloochee is reporting 29 now.

The Mountains are now in the Heavy Rainfall area in the Updated WPC Hazard Outlook.

It's beginning to look like we may have a potential for flooding next week particularly Tuesday through Thursday. Something to keep an eye on.

What a glorious 'false spring' day in the Mountains! I hit 66 today which is the highest temperature since last December. Tomorrow looks even warmer and will be a perfect day for a motorcycle ride!

36 this morning and the ground is wet. It was too warm here last night for snow I believe.

Flurries at the house now.

Just checked the Webcam at Hemphill Bald. Flurries are falling with decent sized flakes.

16 with some clouds moving in. The trajectory seems more W to WNW looking at radar upstream. Maybe we'll see some flurries later this morning.

I had a low of 15 this morning. Looks like we'll get a light upslope snow tomorrow morning and perhaps a wintry mix early Monday morning.

I want to share this here in our group. This Winter Storm crushed records! My morning email from my buddy Jeff Lindner: Yesterday, January 21, 2025 resulted in one of the most significant and historic snow events along the US Gulf coast since 1895. Heavy snow occurred from the Houston metro area along the entire Gulf coast to FL. Data is still being complied to determine the historical context of this event but some areas in Louisiana and Florida have confirmed the exceedance of their all-time record snow amounts. In Addition to the snow, temperatures this morning across this snowpack have fallen to “all-time” records many of which were held from 1899. The numbers listed below are preliminary and subject to change when full data sets are examined. The 1.2 inches of snow recorded at BUSH IAH did not break the record of 3.0 inches from 1960. Note snowfall totals can varying greatly over short distances. Southeast Texas Snowfall Totals: LaPorte: 6.0 Baytown: 5.5 Beaumont: 5.2 Anahuac: 5.0 Dayton: 5.0 Stafford: 4.5 Crosby: 4.5 Cove: 4.5 Al Lago: 4.2 Deer Park: 4.0 Richmond: 4.0 Cleveland: 4.0 Spring Branch: 3.0 South Houston: 3.0 Bellaire: 3.0 Santa Fe: 3.0 Hobby Airport: 3.0 Santa Fe: 3.0 Pearland: 3.0 Dickinson: 3.2 West University: 3.3 Conroe: 2.5 Brookshire: 2.5 Jersey Village: 2.5 Bunker Hill Village: 2.9 Cat Spring: 2.0 Bellville: 2.0 Lake Jackson: 2.0 San Leon: 2.0 Livingston: 2.0 BUSH IAH: 1.2 Tomball: 1.5 Brenham: 1.0 Galveston Island: 1.0 Other Snowfall Totals: Chalmette: 11.0 Metairie: 10.0 New Orleans: 9.8 (broke all-time record of 8.2 from 1895) Lafayette: 9.5 Milton, FL: 8.8 (broke the FL state all-time record of 4.0 inches in 1954) Biloxi: 7.8 Baton Rouge: 7.6 Mobil: 7.5 Orange Beach: 6.5 Lake Charles: 6.0 Pensacola: 5.0 Historic Low Temperatures (so far this morning): New Iberia, LA: 1 (shatters all-time record of 9 from 1962) Lafayette, LA: 4 (broke all-time record of 6 from 1899) Lake Charles: 6 (all-time record is 3 from 1899) Beaumont: 8 (broke all-time record of 10 from 1906) Jeff Lindner Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist Harris County Flood Control District

Congratulations Don! Thanks for sharing!

I dropped to 4 at 6:45 this morning.

Light flurries at the house.

Flurries at Cataloochee now.

Flurries up at Hemphill Bald.

Getting virga showers moving over the mountains now.

Reports I'm seeing suggests accumulations are increasing and virtually all of the freeway systems are snow covered. Snow is covering Seawall Blvd in Galveston at this time. A friend in Beaumont is reporting 3 inches and moderate snow. Jefferson County is under it's first Blizzard Warning since records have been kept back to the late 1800's,

It was 10 at 3:30 this morning and has warned to a very balmy 13. There is a awfully thick cloud cover over the mountains. Virga watch today!

Very likely. Models now will adjust to the ground truth of the precipitation organizing to our West. I wouldn't be surprised to see further changes with the 6Z and 12Z outputs tomorrow morning. It's down to 10 at the house now.

The mission earlier will be ingested into the 00Z model output. I can report that snow has started all across all of SETX and back to San Antonio.

They will be flying again for the 12Z output.