Maggie Valley Steve

Flurries are flying at Cataloochee now. 30F currently.

32 at Cataloochee. Good to see reports coming in from our neighbors in Eastern Tennessee! It won't be long now.

Same here as well.

GSP mentioned 25:1 ratios tomorrow afternoon and night along with convective snow dropping an inch an hour rates!

Cataloochee snow makers are busy placing portable snow guns around the base this morning. Looks like a good 36 to 48 hours of snow making on the mountain and also at Tube World in town!

The GFS finally has shifted the secondary cold core upper low south into the Mountains. That secondary feature has the potential for a heavy burst of snow that could break containment and spill into the foothills.

GSP first snowfall map.

Looks like the 12Z Suite of guidance has come in a bit better agreement regarding the NWFS event Sunday night into Tuesday. Temperatures are really going to shock the system with windchill values in the single digits and highs on Monday not getting above freezing.

30 with heavy frost this morning.

Looks like we will have relatively quiet week ahead with daytime highs in the 60's and lows in the upper 30’s to 40’s. A mainly zonal flow should hold until next weekend, then changes are brewing. The various computer schemes suggest a strong Great Lakes gale developing and moderate to heavy snow across portions of the Region. There are hints of snow upslope snow showers along the border Counties late next weekend depending on timing. I continue to see signs that indicate the possibility of below normal temperatures and storm chances into the Thanksgiving Holiday period.

29 this morning with heavy frost on the Valley floor.

Woke up to 33 this morning with frost. I just emptied 3.24 inches out the gage for the week. Not too shabby at all!

What a raw wet day in the Valley. Temperature started out in the upper 30’s and has managed to 'heat up' to the mid and upper 40’s this afternoon. GSP stated in their afternoon disco that the freezing levels are beginning to drop rather quickly and a good chance for snow showers from 3500 ft and the possibility of some light accumulations.

We've been stuck in the soup for 3 days with temperatures stuck in the 40's. It looks like there may be a wintry mix Thursday night into Friday morning above 5K and freezing temperatures possible early Saturday morning. I'm keeping an eye on early next as yet another Gulf Coast low organizes with an digging upper trough and robust cold front headed our way. The models have flipped from a clipper to a wrapped meandering upper low. If this is the pattern ahead as we head into November, things could become interesting.

42 and rain this morning. It's going to be an interesting week weather wise. Thursday night into Friday morning we should be under the influence of a potent cold core upper low. Temperatures look marginal at this range, but surprises often occur in a transitioning pattern. I continue to see additional changes towards a colder regime and periods of unsettled weather. Oh, and they have started making a snow mound at Tube World last week. Tis the season!

Coldest air of the Fall Season so far ahead for early Friday morning. My 8 to 10 day long range forecast is depicting snow next Thursday and Halloween. If the model trends hold into early next week, we may have a legitimate chance of at least some up slope snow. We will see what if any influence Melissa and a potent upper low dropping out of Canada bring regarding our sensible weather.

43 this morning in the Valley.

34 currently at the house and the first light frost of the Fall Season.

My afternoon point and click forecast is showing 34 for the low Monday morning and again on Tuesday morning. Wednesday morning is showing 32. Next week is looking chilly.

Always climo. That keeps them 'safe'...wink...

We had a chilly low this morning of 40. A backdoor front arrives overnight will reinforce cooler temperatures and a chance of some showers Sunday with the arrival of a stronger front. The leaves in the Valley should be near peak this weekend. I'm seeing a trend in the longer range guidance suggesting stronger cold fronts pushing through until the end of October. Even some hints a snow showers in the longer range!

We've had a nice stretch of amazing weather the last several days. Another cool front arrives Wednesday providing additional pleasant cool temperatures with a stronger shot of cool air and perhaps a shower or two this weekend. The fronts are becoming more frequent and progressive. The days are getting shorter and winter will be here before we know it!

My low was 40 even with a low stratus deck.

No chance of frost in the morning. We've been socked in with clouds since overnight last night. Even with the clouds this morning I managed a low of 49.

Looking more likely we could our first frost Friday morning. Leaves around the house are almost done falling and we did a major leaf blowing today. The worst is almost over for me except for my allergies!