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Maggie Valley Steve

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Everything posted by Maggie Valley Steve

  1. GSP posted on X that day is the coldest Thanksgiving Day in 10 years. Cataloochee has been making snow nonstop for over 24 hours now. Conditions should be awesome up on the Mountain when they reopen tomorrow morning!
  2. Happy Thanksgiving everyone! My low was 27 this morning and the snow guns are blowing all over Cataloochee. Webcam shows a very base was blown overnight! Clouds have rolled in with a bit of virga as well.
  3. Some people love to trash the GFS. It picked up this possibility a week ago. I've learned in my 50+ years of closely monitoring the weather that you use all the tools in the toolbox when analyzing patterns and possibilities...
  4. Someone could see a bit of NWFS this evening and overnight as a bit of moisture moves overhead.
  5. Looking like the so called 'torch' is done. Honestly I enjoy watching folks hang their hat on the model runs and buying the "warmanistas" endless chatter. Great snow making weather ahead for Cataloochee and they liking resume operations Thanksgiving Day. All the talk of the dreaded SE Ridge appears to be waning. It looks like chilly weather with the possibility of wintry mischief early next week. My point and click now has lows of 17 Friday and Saturday mornings. Happy Thanksgiving Mountain folk!
  6. Like you, I see the typical biases in that thread as well. I have engaged them way back in the Eastern Weather days and unfortunately I believe there are some agendas at play. You guys always have great discussions in your Sub Forum and I follow y'all closely!
  7. Very heavy frost to the Valley floor this morning with a low of 30. Strong cold front arrives Tuesday night/Wednesday morning and actually stays chilly into the weekend. My point and click forecast has lows in the upper 20’s Wednesday morning, 22 Thursday morning and 19 Friday morning.
  8. Might need to keep an eye on Thanksgiving. The GFS and Canadian suggest a strong cold front, a deep trough with a trailing wave along the Gulf could bring snow chances to the Mountains.
  9. I'll take a late November/early December-EPO/+PNA regime now showing up on the ensembles any day. I expect some crazy swings in the deterministic guidance the next 7 to 10 days. Patience grasshoppers.
  10. 17 and near 3.5 inches measured. The wind howled here during the night, so the driveway is blown almost clean except for a sheet of ice.
  11. Nearing 4 inches at the house and still snowing. Down to 18.
  12. Tomorrow morning pictures should be awesome! Take care Don!
  13. Heavy snow now. We're finally getting the benefit of that potent vort max. Temperature down to 19.
  14. It's pour snow at 21 degrees. I've picked up an inch in the last 20 minutes.
  15. Cataloochee Ski Area will officially open for the season this Wednesday! Tube World has the snow guns blowing and the hill is covered now!
  16. 23 with light to moderate snow at times. It's starting to lay on the grass and roads now.
  17. Visible imagery suggests gravity waves are developing just ahead of the potent vort max. I'm starting to see some rising cumulus suggesting the possibility of thundersnow just E of the Knoxville Region.
  18. Snow showers have spilled over mountains into the Valley now.
  19. Looking upstream there a bubbly cumulus building ahead of the potent vort max that is diving SSE. It appears to be digging enough to put the SW Mountains in play this afternoon and evening for moderate to heavy snow. Clouds are beginning to build back in around the Valley and snow flurries have increased a bit. In a couple of hours we should begin to see more widespread reports coming in.
  20. Just rode up to Cataloochee. 18 and light snow currently. The top of Fie Top Rd was icy, but the salt trucks were laying salt down. Looked like a couple of inches above 5K. Back down in the Valley it's 27 with occasional flurries.
  21. Light snow and a dusting with 27 at the house. GSP says the potent vort max will bring heavier snow this afternoon and evening than previously expected.
  22. Flurries are flying at Cataloochee now. 30F currently.
  23. 32 at Cataloochee. Good to see reports coming in from our neighbors in Eastern Tennessee! It won't be long now.
  24. GSP mentioned 25:1 ratios tomorrow afternoon and night along with convective snow dropping an inch an hour rates!
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