Maggie Valley Steve

I had a low of 60 this morning. I saw Mt Mitchell had a low of 48 shortly after 7 AM! 51 days until Fall.

66 and moderate rain currently.

No severe thunderstorms here today, but we did have a couple good downpours! Cooler weather ahead with lows in the 50's and highs in the low 70's. Surely Fall is approaching and before long it will be leaf season.

Looks like just about everyone in the mountains got some beneficial rain this afternoon. Just 54 days until Fall!

I've been under two wet cells this afternoon that has brought over an inch of rain and still raining. Luck of the draw today I suppose.

I'm sad to learn of John Burns passing. God bless his family.

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0775 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1230 PM EDT Tue Jul 22 2025 Areas affected...Carolina Piedmont into southern Appalachians Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 221629Z - 222100Z Summary...Isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding will be possible across the Piedmont of NC/SC into the higher terrain of the southern Appalachians through late afternoon. Rainfall rates of 1-2 in/hr and localized 2+ in/hr rates will become likely but much of that rainfall may fall over a sub-hourly timescale leading to rapid runoff. Discussion...GOES East visible and regional radar imagery at 16Z showed scattered showers over far northeastern NC into western NC, embedded within an anomalously moist environment in place over the southeastern U.S. PW values on 12Z RAOBs from GSO and FFC ranged from 2.1 to 2.2 inches, near or above the climatological max for the middle of July per SPC data, and while PW values in the mountains are naturally lower, similar PW percentile values are likely into the terrain. Current cloud cover is likely limiting MLCAPE over the western portions of the Carolinas with 16Z SPC mesoanalysis data showing ~500 J/kg or less, but peak surface heating is still a few hours away. With continued surface heating, short term RAP forecasts show MLCAPE values increasing into the 500-1500 J/kg range through 22Z. The combination of sufficient instability and high moisture (tall/skinny CAPEs) will allow for high short term rain rates via efficient rainfall production. Deeper layer mean flow is oriented from the NW at 5-10 kt, weaker to the south, which should allow for relatively slow moving cells. 1-2 inches of rain in 30-60 minutes will be possible in the stronger cells that develop which could lead to isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding. Otto ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX...RNK...

Dying thunderstorm ending a very productive day around the house. It's nice to have patterns of our past!

We got a sprinkle after thundering for an hour. I'm not complaining. We had mostly light to moderate rain most of the afternoon yesterday. I just do not see any relaxing of this persistent pattern into the end of the month. It's less than 70 days before Fall arrives!

Good luck and best wishes on your life move! Looking forward to your pictures and reports from the Big Sky Country.

We're finally getting storms late this evening!

I finally got a tenth of an inch of rain today. It's starting to get mighty dry around the Valley. Hopefully we'll see more chances the next several days.

I am heartbroken for the folks back in the Texas Hill Country. I grew up visiting many of these areas in my early years into late teens. Loss of life from flooding is imprinted in our minds and burned into our hearts here in Western NC from Helene. So many young kids is almost too difficult to fathom from Hunt TX area.

I had a nice half hour shower today, but no thunder. Tomorrow looks similar. Tuesday we should get a front drifting in from the NW. Not sure how much progress it makes, but hopefully some drier air arrives for the Forth of July Fireworks across the area!

I finally got some rain last evening! My low this morning was 60 which felt so refreshing after a few days of very warm weather.

Another day of noisy thunderstorms all around and not a drop of rain.

Mesoscale Discussion out for the Mountains.

We had a lot of thunder but no rain. Temperature did drop from 87 to 77 in an hour and it's currently 73. If the Slight Risk holds tomorrow, fingers crossed we get some rain locally.

Pulse storms are popping this afternoon for Mountain Folk. Hopefully we'll see some cooling rain locally after a high of 88.

87 currently at the house @ 3300 ft

I'm getting alerts from Haywood County about a rock slide near the border on I-40 due to very heavy rainfall. I -40 has been closed both ways. I drove through the Gorge Sunday afternoon and it took me an hour and twenty minutes to get through from the Tennessee side.

Thunderstorms teased me earlier this evening, but I'm finally reaping the benefits of cells nearby.

It looks like some scattered storms are nearing the border this evening. The models are struggling with the various MCS possibilities over the next several days. The front seems to be meandering across the Virginia's and Eastern Kentucky currently. It's been a minute since we had some rain locally.

We finished the driveway with tar paint. Thankfully the showers were over the high peaks this afternoon. It looks noisy the next few days!

It was almost a perfect day, less that pesky Canadian smoke. Low was 56 and the high was 73 at the house today!