Maggie Valley Steve

Looking like a Winter Weather Advisory will be hoisted tomorrow for Thursday night into Friday morning across the Mountains. GSP in their Hazardous Weather Outlook is mentioning snow tomorrow night mixing with sleet/freezing rain/rain Friday morning as the warm nose builds in during the daylight hours of Friday.

Snow flurries in the Valley. It's starting to stick on the deck and vehicles. 31 and no wind.

Yes Sir! I never expected anything but plain old rain here with this system. It's already sprinkling here at 3200 ft.

I'm sure you folks are aware of another SSW Event unfolding for mid month?

Temperature has actually gone up the past hour here at the house. Was 42 now it's 45.

I see another SSW event is ahead in a couple of weeks. Let the model mayhem continue!

It's going to be a close call here in Haywood County overnight. I see GSP has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Buncombe and Henderson Counties now. Frankly the models are struggling beyond 24 to 48 hours. Until they settle down, it's hard to put much faith in the medium and longer range guidance.

GSP mentioned Winter Weather Advisory coming either later this afternoon or tomorrow morning for all of the Mountain areas including the SW Mountains for tomorrow night. Looks like snow changing to freezing rain event. They are also mentioning the next event would be Thursday night into Friday with snow likely for all areas including Asheville/Hendersonville before changing to sleet/freezing rain. The upcoming medium range continues to advertise a fast progressive pattern with moisture every day or two into next week.

The last time before last year the Gulf Coast witnessed that type of snow event was 1899 and somewhat 1895. That tells you just how historic last year was!

The Friday afternoon update from the Climate Prediction Center suggests we stay cold and wet until the 26th of December. It's been a while since I've seen them this bullish on cold and wet for an extended period during the winter.

Welcome! Glad to have you in our great group of Mountain posters! May there be many 'Jebwalks' in your future!

17 this morning in the Valley. We could see a bit more widespread NWFS Sunday evening. Another chance on Tuesday night .

GSP posted on X that day is the coldest Thanksgiving Day in 10 years. Cataloochee has been making snow nonstop for over 24 hours now. Conditions should be awesome up on the Mountain when they reopen tomorrow morning!

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! My low was 27 this morning and the snow guns are blowing all over Cataloochee. Webcam shows a very base was blown overnight! Clouds have rolled in with a bit of virga as well.

Some people love to trash the GFS. It picked up this possibility a week ago. I've learned in my 50+ years of closely monitoring the weather that you use all the tools in the toolbox when analyzing patterns and possibilities...

Someone could see a bit of NWFS this evening and overnight as a bit of moisture moves overhead.

Looking like the so called 'torch' is done. Honestly I enjoy watching folks hang their hat on the model runs and buying the "warmanistas" endless chatter. Great snow making weather ahead for Cataloochee and they liking resume operations Thanksgiving Day. All the talk of the dreaded SE Ridge appears to be waning. It looks like chilly weather with the possibility of wintry mischief early next week. My point and click now has lows of 17 Friday and Saturday mornings. Happy Thanksgiving Mountain folk!

Like you, I see the typical biases in that thread as well. I have engaged them way back in the Eastern Weather days and unfortunately I believe there are some agendas at play. You guys always have great discussions in your Sub Forum and I follow y'all closely!

Very heavy frost to the Valley floor this morning with a low of 30. Strong cold front arrives Tuesday night/Wednesday morning and actually stays chilly into the weekend. My point and click forecast has lows in the upper 20’s Wednesday morning, 22 Thursday morning and 19 Friday morning.

Might need to keep an eye on Thanksgiving. The GFS and Canadian suggest a strong cold front, a deep trough with a trailing wave along the Gulf could bring snow chances to the Mountains.

I'll take a late November/early December-EPO/+PNA regime now showing up on the ensembles any day. I expect some crazy swings in the deterministic guidance the next 7 to 10 days. Patience grasshoppers.

17 and near 3.5 inches measured. The wind howled here during the night, so the driveway is blown almost clean except for a sheet of ice.

Nearing 4 inches at the house and still snowing. Down to 18.

Tomorrow morning pictures should be awesome! Take care Don!

Heavy snow now. We're finally getting the benefit of that potent vort max. Temperature down to 19.