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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. not sure how many of you know about the ICECHIP hail research project this summer - a hail study led by CMU & NIU, with like 20 other orgs involved. I'll be going out to the front range/central plains for like 6 weeks this summer working on it. There's this website: http://icechip.niu.edu if you want to learn more, or feel free to ask me any questions, super excited about it
  2. what a long night, insane wind gusts in IN/OH, with a 100mph report from the Muncie area. was posting warnings until like 2am for all the little 3 frame spin-ups in the wilmington area
  3. lol yeah, I'm looking forward to some 50s and 60s later this month, before I head back south for the summer (I know, the wrong direction )
  4. Heavy sleet with some thunder and gusty winds on my walk to class this morning. Why the hell did I come here?
  5. tor-driven, and I was surprised that they didn't go 45% for wind.
  6. Moderate issued for Evansville - Little Rock area along the Ohio & Mississippi Rivers
  7. Big swath of 75kt+ winds at 850mb early thursday AM on the latest HRRR, over western ohio. I'm thinking a moderate is coming at 1:30, probably for both wind and tor potential.
  8. Pretty sunny and 73 on the southwest side of lansing
  9. Charlotte, mi, sorry, SW of Lansing. I think there is a Charlotte near circleville tho
  10. Heading down to Charlotte area to chase
  11. From the day4 portion of the days 4-8 outlook
  12. keep in mind that this is a composite of all hazards but still, looking like another big day in the area.
  13. Not so sure about this one...
  14. At a glance, 00z hrrr looks like an uptrend in terms of morning convection decreasing around the IN/KY/OH area and a little bit more destabilization
  15. Probably thread worthy given the huge d3 enhanced covering a lot of the southern sub, and the slight risk all the way into MI. Interesting that the SPC keeps mentioning the significant hail probs as almost the primary risk with this event. Just rare to see this far east I feel.
  16. I can start a thread for Sunday tomorrow if it looks to continue the uptrend around the area. Saw a gif of the GFS actually trending towards the ukmet solution which is concerning
  17. It's the chatbot on Twitter ("x"), https://x.com/i/grok. Not sure if it's accessible without an account, but in my experience it's pretty similar skillwise to deepseek/chatgpt, although I haven't used it to do analysis on data like that.
  18. Incredible amount of lightning with these storms as well
  19. This is insane, and just the sheer number of pds warnings so far is wild
  20. MDT got even bigger on the latest D1 outlook
  21. HREF with a UH bullseye around and north of STL tonight.
  22. https://x.com/CameronJNixon/status/1900567103628857486 excellent thread by cameron nixon on why this storm mode may be more supportive of long-track tors than a purely supercellular one IMO, this could be cause enough for a high risk at 1630z
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