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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. nvck
    Haven't been paying too much attention to ensembles, but this is a pretty big run-to-run change off the EPS, and somewhat surprising to see so close to the event?
  2. nvck
    What a complex forecast for this mid-week... Rain chance basically everyday, and didn't end up including any snow in my "official" 7-day, but wouldn't be surprised if we got even up to 3inches through the week.
  3. nvck
    Euro ensemble with a decent signal for something to happen on or around the 23rd, at least in my area. GEFS doesn't go out quite as far, but seems to be picking up on the same system.
  4. nvck
    yep, freshman in the met program!
  5. nvck
    Pretty good show just north of Mt Pleasant, MI. Crazy sight with the wind farms surrounding you as well
  6. nvck
    Massive CC drop directly over Lakewood Park on FL's east coast
  7. nvck
    And, of course, beautiful sunsets the past 2 nights as well.
  8. nvck
    Caught a "circum-zenithical arc" yesterday afternoon here in MI, as well as 2 sundogs thanks to those high hurricane clouds making their way north.
  9. nvck
    You can really see the shape of the eyewall on the lightning map from blitzortung
  10. nvck
    Up to 6 Inches over the past week in some of the mountains of NC (over past 7 days, but same idea)
  11. nvck
    Saw that, I won't talk too much about it on this thread, but yeah, another homebrew 'cane that the GFS (keep in mind at 240+ hrs) has landfalling on the FL panhandle around 950mb. Safe to say this likely won't verify, but worth keeping an eye on
  12. nvck
    looks like the core of it should miss land, although it'll certainly be close
  13. nvck
    Correct me if I'm wrong, but if the storm post-landfall does take a looping track like that highlighted in some of the models, wouldn't that lead to some pretty intense inland flooding, especially over S Appalachia and the Ozarks?
  14. nvck
    obviously just one model run, but wow... 935 only 4.5 days out is nothing to sneeze at...
  15. nvck
    Meanwhile, drought back home continues to worsen, with much of Appalachian Ohio in D4 conditions. Thankfully, rain looks to be coming sometime through the week, which should hopefully alleviate much of the dryness.
  16. nvck
    Euro ensemble pressure matrices for Tampa and Pensacola, off the 00z run (not available on 06z). Looks to be angling at more of a panhandle/ big bend area landfall, although not super strong.
  17. nvck
    https://x.com/realStarInBox/status/1820273147058303099?t=GQXJBgvzQRmDf372rwqpwQ&s=19
  18. nvck
    You gotta be like hella online either tiktok or 4chan or maybe twitter to fully comprehend
  19. nvck
    Not even noon and it's already 91/74/103
  20. nvck
    Extended Euro looks pretty dire for about half of the forum, between hardly any rain over the next 10 days and possibly triple-degree heat, flash drought seems pretty likely
  21. nvck
    Would only need an ~2 degree overperfomance here to hit that, probably sometime between monday and Friday next week
  22. nvck
    really hope this verifies! love the nice cool days throughout the summer
  23. nvck
    any idea why this cell, among others, are dying as soon as they get into the OKC area?
  24. nvck
    lets go with 29/15/5
  25. nvck
    absolutely insane... I just happened to look up on my walk home from work last night, and saw the brightest of the night for me!
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