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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. nvck
    Anyone buying the additional 5-6" the hrrr shows?
  2. nvck
    Mostly light since about 11 here, maybe 0.5-1" on the ground but roads are getting covered. Stronger band moving in now
  3. nvck
    Are mping reports not working on radarscope/ any other outside service for anyone else? I can see them on the https://mping.ou.edu/display/ site, but not anywhere else. edit: actually, looks like the certificate for that site expired at 12z this morning... wonder if that impacts other apps ability to access the reports? Hell of a time for that to happen...
  4. nvck
    Radar shows snow, but a hefty wedge of dry air in the lower bit of the atmosphere - just waiting for that to get eroded and then we're off, hopefully!
  5. nvck
    Getting kinda worried about dry air intrusion, and that most intense band of precip moving south of the river
  6. nvck
    Anyone have any opinions on the WPC experimental winter precip probability maps? Am wanting to include them more in my forecast process as they seem like a good super-blend, but didn't know what the thinking was around them
  7. nvck
    18z hrrr goes crazy on the tri-state area, keeping the sleet/snow line well in kentucky
  8. nvck
    the ukmet, OTOH, would be very dissapointing...
  9. nvck
    some of us may need to chill on the dooming, lol. sref (not sure how it does for winter wx) still has the most significant accumulations farther north, especially compared to the euro
  10. nvck
    18z euro ticked backed north...
  11. nvck
    not loving the look that the gfs has with regards to ice / diminished snow potential. gonna be a tight gradient down here
  12. nvck
    Neat visualization from the 12z GFS, really would like to see more snow in the more intense precip bands than freezing rain, but maybe it'll come back around Also, freezing rain at 24° ground temps means that there's got to be one hell of a warm nose at like 850mb, right?
  13. nvck
    Maybe the more southwest Ohio people on here, the more we can pull this thing back south
  14. nvck
    Pretty big uptrend for my area on the 12z EPS, also included a couple other stations around the region for everyone's viewing pleasure (or displeasure)
  15. nvck
    Snow-total wise, this is for cincy - lmk if you want to see any other stations
  16. nvck
    I'll have what the 06z euro is cooking, please.
  17. nvck
    18z gfs is well south of previous 2 runs
  18. nvck
    Here ya go... If this just came 50 or 60 miles south, I'd be in heaven
  19. nvck
    I mean, this is just ridiculous. Yeah, this is a couple weeks out, but temps down into the negative teens in Tennessee is crazy. Obviously, I don't think that this will come anywhere near verifying, but wow...
  20. nvck
    That 12 inches over cincy is more than we got in total last year, I believe.
  21. nvck
    Decent rates here for about 30 or 40 minutes, enough to about half cover the grass. Just flurries now, but hoping for another inch or two tonight, maybe like last Wednesday?
  22. nvck
    i'll be back in sw ohio atp, and would definitely take 50s consistently over the mid-30s and no snow up here.
  23. nvck
    KGRR - Precipitation Depiction, 10_52~2.mp4 Little LES band with Mt. Pleasant perfectly in the middle... glad to see the wealth be spread inland finally!
  24. nvck
    Snow really coming down now in Cleveland! Football weather...
  25. nvck
    Yep lol, been pretty focused on mid-michigan, but heres a couple more charts I pulled from the 00z run for other cities DTW: Kalamazoo: Chicago/O'Hare: Cleveland: Let me know if anyone wants any other graphics from this site, they've got some good visualizations, but it needs a subscription which I've got thru school.
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