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nvck

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Everything posted by nvck

  1. nvck
    tor-driven, and I was surprised that they didn't go 45% for wind.
  2. nvck
    Moderate issued for Evansville - Little Rock area along the Ohio & Mississippi Rivers
  3. nvck
    Would be exactly 1 year from this:
  4. nvck
    Big swath of 75kt+ winds at 850mb early thursday AM on the latest HRRR, over western ohio. I'm thinking a moderate is coming at 1:30, probably for both wind and tor potential.
  5. nvck
    Pretty sunny and 73 on the southwest side of lansing
  6. nvck
    Charlotte, mi, sorry, SW of Lansing. I think there is a Charlotte near circleville tho
  7. nvck
    Heading down to Charlotte area to chase
  8. nvck
    From the day4 portion of the days 4-8 outlook
  9. nvck
    keep in mind that this is a composite of all hazards but still, looking like another big day in the area.
  10. nvck
    Not so sure about this one...
  11. nvck
    At a glance, 00z hrrr looks like an uptrend in terms of morning convection decreasing around the IN/KY/OH area and a little bit more destabilization
  12. nvck
    Probably thread worthy given the huge d3 enhanced covering a lot of the southern sub, and the slight risk all the way into MI. Interesting that the SPC keeps mentioning the significant hail probs as almost the primary risk with this event. Just rare to see this far east I feel.
  13. nvck
    I can start a thread for Sunday tomorrow if it looks to continue the uptrend around the area. Saw a gif of the GFS actually trending towards the ukmet solution which is concerning
  14. nvck
    It's the chatbot on Twitter ("x"), https://x.com/i/grok. Not sure if it's accessible without an account, but in my experience it's pretty similar skillwise to deepseek/chatgpt, although I haven't used it to do analysis on data like that.
  15. nvck
    Something to watch for next weekend
  16. nvck
    Incredible amount of lightning with these storms as well
  17. nvck
    This is insane, and just the sheer number of pds warnings so far is wild
  18. nvck
    MDT got even bigger on the latest D1 outlook
  19. nvck
    Wow
  20. nvck
    HREF with a UH bullseye around and north of STL tonight.
  21. nvck
    https://x.com/CameronJNixon/status/1900567103628857486 excellent thread by cameron nixon on why this storm mode may be more supportive of long-track tors than a purely supercellular one IMO, this could be cause enough for a high risk at 1630z
  22. nvck
    Looks as though the lead shortwave that was supposed to "scrub out" some moisture from south and limit northwards moisture advection for friday isn't as strong as forecast
  23. nvck
    NAM3k sounding from SC IL (Mt. Vernon area) for late Friday night
  24. nvck
    cincinnati area saturday afternoon
  25. nvck
    Saturday looking bigger than Friday for both the northern and southern modes
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